Jasmine Paolini and Jaqueline Cristian will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.28
Jaqueline Cristian -> 3.68
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Jaqueline Cristian
This will be the 4th time that Jasmine Paolini and Jaqueline Cristian clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Paolini won 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in the W25 Sao Paulo back in 2019.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-8 | 12-6 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Paolini got to the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Iva Jovic 7-6(3) 1-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Paolini defeated Jovic (7-63 1-6 6-3). During the match, Paolini scored 92 points vs Jovic’s 91. Jasmine was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 56% of her first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Jovic 5 times after converting 31% of her break points (5/16).
Paolini has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (317-235). 7-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Paolini has an overall 111-90 record in the last years on hard.
The Italian has an aggregate 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Jaqueline Cristian
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-10 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-32 | 5-15 | 17-11 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-28 | 4-7 | 28-11 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| 2022 | 13-16 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-26 | 5-5 | 15-12 | 17-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79, Jaqueline got to the 3rd round after beating Veronika Kudermetova 6-2 6-3 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 5-7 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Annie Fernandez, The Romanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-65 6-3).During the match Cristian scored less points (2) than Annie Fernandez. In fact, the world no. 6 won 117 points vs Annie Fernandez’s. That means that Cristian was more focused during the important points. Jaqueline was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Cristian fired 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Jaqueline Cristian lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Cristian put 52% of her first serves in, winning 75% (44/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (24/55) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jaqueline has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Jaqueline has an aggregate 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 51 |
| Pts | 92-91 | 193-182 |
| Total Points | 183 | 375 |
| Winners | 33 | 76 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Paolini played 1 match while Cristian competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini surrendered 1 set, while Jaqueline Cristian dropped 1 set. Paolini has played 2 set(s) less than Cristian (3 vs 5). Therefore, Paolini played 22 games less than Cristian. The Italian scored 33 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Jaqueline scored 76 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 50/89 | 102/184 |
| %1st in | 56% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 33/50 | 76/102 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 17/39 | 34/82 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 41% |
Paolini managed to score 1 ace . Cristian also blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Paolini won 66% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Cristian won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Cristian |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 9/20 |
| % Converted | 31% | 45% |
| Conceded | 9 | 17 |
| Saved | 3 | 12 |
| % Saved | 33% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 |
The Italian broke her opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Paolini dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R2 Jovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 92-91 | 92-91 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 50/89 | 50/89 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 33/50 | 33/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/39 | 17/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/9 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Cristian | ||||
| R1 Kudermetova |
R2 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 5-7 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 34 | 51 | |
| pts | 76-63 | 117-119 | 193-182 | |
| Total points | 139 | 236 | 375 | |
| Winners | 32 | 44 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 43/70 | 59/114 | 102/184 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 44/59 | 76/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/27 | 24/55 | 34/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 44% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/14 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 36% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 7/11 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 64% | 147% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWLW
WLWWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-0 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-3) – H2H and prediction
