Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova will square off in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.86
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.94

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Liudmila Samsonova

There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 12, the Russian reached the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Sofia Kenin 3-6 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Kenin, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-4). During the match, Kasatkina scored 101 points vs Kenin’s 99. Darya was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kasatkina recorded 9 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 58% of her first serves in, winning 65% (39/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (21/43) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Kenin 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).

Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (308-198). 9-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 163-122 record in the last years on hard.

The Russian has an aggregate 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Liudmila Samsonova

Ranked no. 25, Ludmilla reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Caty McNally 7-6(8) 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against McNally (7-6⁸ 6-4). During the match Samsonova scored 71 points vs McNally’s 66. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Samsonova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 52% of her first serves in, winning 85% (28/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (12/31) on the 2nd serve. Samsonova broke McNally 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

The Russian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.

Ludmilla has a composed 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kasatkina	Samsonova
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	31	23
Pts	101-99	71-66
Total Points	200	137
Winners	39	28
%Winners	39%	39%

Both Kasatkina and Samsonova played 1 match. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina dropped 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set more than Samsonova (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kasatkina played 8 games more than Samsonova. The Russian scored 39 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 28 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kasatkina	Samsonova
Aces	9	1
Avg per match	9	1
1st in	60/103	33/64
%1st in	58%	52%
1st pts	39/60	28/33
%1st pts	65%	85%
2nd pts	21/43	12/31
%2nd pts	49%	39%

Kasatkina made 9 aces . Samsonova blasted 1 ace . Kasatkina won 65% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 85% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kasatkina	Samsonova
Won	6	4
Converted	6/15	4/8
% Converted	40%	50%
Conceded	11	4
Saved	6	1
% Saved	55%	25%
Times Broken	5	3

Kasatkina broke her opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Darya lost her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
	R2 Kenin	Total
Score	3-6 7-5 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	101-99	101-99
Total points	200	200
Winners	39	39
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	60/103	60/103
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	39/60	39/60
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	21/43	21/43
% 2nd pts	49%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/15	6/15
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	6/11	6
Saved %	55%	55%
Times Broken	5	5

Samsonova
	R2 McNally	Total
Score	7-68 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	23	23
pts	71-66	71-66
Total points	137	137
Winners	28	28
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	33/64	33/64
% 1st in	52%	52%
1st pts	28/33	28/33
% 1st pts	85%	85%
2nd pts	12/31	12/31
% 2nd pts	39%	39%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	1/4	1
Saved %	25%	25%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-0 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-5) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-3) – H2H and prediction