Polina Kudermetova and Sonay Kartal will square off in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM 4. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sonay Kartal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sonay Kartal is the pick to win this match.
Sonay Kartal -> 1.67
Polina Kudermetova -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Polina Kudermetova vs. Sonay Kartal

There is no head to head record between Polina Kudermetova and Sonay Kartal since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Polina Kudermetova

Ranked no. 60, Kudermetova reached the 3^rd round after defeating Claire Liu 6-4 6-2 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Polina had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (7-5 6-2). During the match, Kudermetova scored 67 points vs Alexandrova’s 52. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kudermetova managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Polina Kudermetova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kudermetova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 55% (22/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the 2nd serve. Kudermetova broke Alexandrova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points she played.

Kudermetova has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (193-107). 13-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kudermetova has an overall86-42 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Polina’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Brisbane.

The Russian has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Kudermetova has never competed in this tournament before.

Sonay Kartal

Ranked no. 83, the Brit reached the 3^rd round after defeating Marina Stakusic 6-2 6-2, Clervie Ngounoue 3-6 7-5 7-5, Varvara Lepchenko 7-6(6) 6-2 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-2 6-1.

In the 2^nd

round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (6-2 6-1). During the match Kartal scored 56 points vs Haddad Maia’s 32. Sonay was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Kartal fired 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sonay Kartal was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (27/38) of her 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Kartal broke Haddad Maia 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sonay started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points she played.

The Brit has a compiled 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kudermetova	Kartal
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	6
Tot Games	38	52
Pts	144-118	196-135
Total Points	262	331
Winners	53	84
%Winners	37%	43%

Kudermetova played 2 matches while Kartal competed in 3 matches. Kartal started her run from the qualifications while Kudermetova had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Kudermetova has played 2 set(s) less than Kartal (4 vs 6). Therefore, Kudermetova played 14 games less than Kartal. Kudermetova scored 53 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Sonay bagged 84 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kudermetova	Kartal
Aces	2	6
Avg per match	1	2
1st in	91/153	113/166
%1st in	59%	68%
1st pts	53/91	84/113
%1st pts	58%	74%
2nd pts	33/62	34/53
%2nd pts	53%	64%

Kudermetova made 2 aces (1 per match). Kartal blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Kudermetova won 58% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kartal won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kudermetova	Kartal
Won	11	11
Converted	11/19	11/22
% Converted	58%	50%
Conceded	20	11
Saved	15	10
% Saved	75%	91%
Times Broken	5	1

The Russian broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Kudermetova lost her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Sonay broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Kartal conceded her serve once and she saved 91% of the break points that she conceded.

Kudermetova
	R1 Liu	R2 Alexandrova	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	20	38
pts	77-66	67-52	144-118
Total points	143	119	262
Winners	31	22	53
%Winners	40%	33%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	2
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	51/88	40/65	91/153
% 1st in	58%	62%	59%
1st pts	31/51	22/40	53/91
% 1st pts	61%	55%	58%
2nd pts	18/37	15/25	33/62
% 2nd pts	49%	60%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/9	6/10	11/19
Converted %	56%	60%	58%
Conceded	15	5	20
Saved	13/15	2/5	15
Saved %	87%	40%	64%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Kartal
	Q1 Stakusic	Q3 Ngounoue	R1 Lepchenko	R2 Haddad Maia	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	3-6 7-5 7-5	7-66 6-2	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	16	33	21	15	85
pts	64-42	–	76-61	56-32	196-135
Total points	106	0	137	88	331
Winners	28		29	27	84
%Winners	44%	0%	38%	48%	43%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1	4	6
Double Faults	1		2	2	5
1st in	37/52	/	38/65	38/49	113/166
% 1st in	71%	0%	58%	78%	68%
1st pts	28/37	/	29/38	27/38	84/113
% 1st pts	76%	0%	76%	71%	74%
2nd pts	9/15	/	18/27	7/11	34/53
% 2nd pts	60%	0%	67%	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	4		2	5	11
Converted	4/9	/	2/5	5/8	11/22
Converted %	44%	0%	40%	63%	50%
Conceded	3		3	5	11
Saved	3/3	0/	3/3	4/5	10
Saved %	100%	–	100%	80%	140%
Times Broken	0		0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

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• Jessica PegulaPegula – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-0 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

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• Belinda BencicBencic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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• Clara TausonTauson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-5) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-3) – H2H and prediction