Egor Gerasimov and Naoya Honda will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Cherbourg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:30 pm on JEAN JAURES. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Egor Gerasimov who should win in 2 sets.
Egor Gerasimov -> 1.4
Naoya Honda -> 2.77
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Prediction and head to head Egor Gerasimov vs. Naoya Honda
There is no head to head record between Egor Gerasimov and Naoya Honda since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Egor Gerasimov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-18 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-32 | 16-17 | 0-3 | 13-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-25 | 18-15 | 1-3 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-16 | 8-10 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-32 | 5-10 | 2-8 | 14-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 399, Gerasimov got to the qualifications after beating Axel Garcian 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Egor had a good straight sets win against Garcian (6-3 6-2). During the match, Gerasimov scored 53 points vs Garcian’s 33. The Belarussian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gerasimov struck 6 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Egor Gerasimov was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 93% (13/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Garcian 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Gerasimov has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (252-211). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Gerasimov has a compiled 101-70 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Egor has an overall 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cherbourg Challenger
Naoya Honda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-28 | 19-20 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 878 (career-high), Honda got to the qualifications after defeating Lucas Poullain 6-1 1-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Japanese defeated Poullain (6-1 1-6 6-4). During the match Honda scored 89 points vs Poullain’s 83. Honda was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Honda scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Naoya Honda lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Honda put 52% of his first serves in, winning 63% (25/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the 2nd serve. Naoya broke Poullain 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
The Japanese’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Manacor.
Honda has a compiled 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gerasimov | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 24 |
| Pts | 53-33 | 89-83 |
| Total Points | 86 | 172 |
| Winners | 24 | 25 |
| %Winners | 45% | 28% |
Both Gerasimov and Honda played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Naoya Honda lost 1 set while Egor Gerasimov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gerasimov has played 1 set(s) less than Honda (2 vs 3). Therefore, Gerasimov played 7 games less than Honda. Egor scored 24 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Honda fired 25 winners (28%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gerasimov | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1 |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 40/77 |
| %1st in | 69% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 25/40 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 13/14 | 19/37 |
| %2nd pts | 93% | 51% |
Gerasimov bagged 6 aces . Honda scored 1 ace . Gerasimov won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 93% of the points. On the other side, Honda won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gerasimov | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 7 |
| % Saved | 0% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Gerasimov broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Belarussian extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Honda broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gerasimov | |||
| Q1 Garcian | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 53-33 | 53-33 | |
| Total points | 86 | 86 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 31/45 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/14 | 13/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 93% | 93% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Honda | |||
| Q1 Poullain | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 89-83 | 89-83 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/77 | 40/77 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 25/40 | 25/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 19/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
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