Grigor Dimitrov and Gael Monfils will play each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gael Monfils who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gael Monfils is the pick to win this match.
Gael Monfils -> 1.727
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Gael Monfils
This will be the 7th time that Grigor Dimitrov and Gael Monfils fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Monfils (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Dimitrov won 6-3 6-4 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2024.
Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Gael Monfils – Wimbledon 05-July-2024
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-9 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, the Bulgarian reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Nuno Borges 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Grigor had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-3 6-4). During the match, Dimitrov scored 75 points vs Borges’s 61. Grigor was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov struck 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 61% of his first serves in, winning 78% (36/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. The Bulgarian broke Borges 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (298-179). 4-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dimitrov has an overall 154-89 record in the last years on hard.
Dimitrov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane.
Dimitrov has a compiled 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Gael Monfils
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-7 | 14-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-21 | 15-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-15 | 8-8 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-7 | 13-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-7 | 2-4 | 7-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Monfils reached the 3rd round after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 6-4 and Sebastian Korda 7-6(2) 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, Gael had a good straight sets win against Korda (7-62 7-64). During the match Monfils scored 89 points vs Korda’s 80. Gael was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Monfils blasted 4 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Gael Monfils was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Gael broke Korda twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Monfils hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Auckland where he beat Zizou Bergs in the final 6-3 6-4.
The French player has an overall 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 46 |
| Pts | 75-61 | 159-140 |
| Total Points | 136 | 299 |
| Winners | 36 | 63 |
| %Winners | 48% | 40% |
Dimitrov played 1 match while Monfils competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Dimitrov has played 2 set(s) less than Monfils (2 vs 4). Therefore, Dimitrov played 27 games less than Monfils. The Bulgarian scored 36 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Gael bagged 63 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 46/76 | 77/142 |
| %1st in | 61% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 63/77 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 14/30 | 36/65 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 55% |
Dimitrov bagged 6 aces . Monfils scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Dimitrov won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Monfils won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 38% | 36% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 88% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Dimitrov broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Grigor lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||
| R2 Borges |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 75-61 | 75-61 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/76 | 46/76 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 36/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/30 | 14/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Monfils | ||||
| R1 Struff |
R2 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-62 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 26 | 46 | |
| pts | 70-60 | 89-80 | 159-140 | |
| Total points | 130 | 169 | 299 | |
| Winners | 29 | 34 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 35/62 | 42/80 | 77/142 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 53% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 34/42 | 63/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 22/38 | 36/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 58% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/7 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 29% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 67% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
LWLWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Tommy PaulPaul – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (5-7 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (2-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneHolger – Ugo HumbertUgo (5-7 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Gael MonfilsMonfils (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-0) – H2H and prediction
