Iga Swiatek is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. The Pole has defeated Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-0 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Dayana Yastremska.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Iga Swiatek’s projected draw together withherlikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. The Pole has a favorable record (24-11) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Caroline Garcia (71) – 6-2 6-0
R3 – Dayana Yastremska (46) – H2H 1-1
R4 – Karolina Muchova (15) – H2H 3-1
or Katerina Siniakova (59) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Qinwen Zheng (9) – H2H 6-1
or Marta Kostyuk (24) – H2H 3-0
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 6-4
or Elena Rybakina (7) – H2H 4-4
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 8-4
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 11-3
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Dayana Yastremska’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

12 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
46
High
21
WWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-6 8-5 0-0 4-1 0-0 0-0
2024 22-22 12-12 5-5 2-2 3-3 0-0
2023 39-29 19-13 12-9 5-4 3-3 0-0
2022 21-25 7-11 5-4 7-6 2-4 0-0
2021 7-12 3-8 2-1 2-3 0-0 0-0
2020 17-12 10-7 4-3 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 36-22 23-14 5-4 3-1 5-3 0-0
2018 43-19 17-7 17-5 4-3 5-4 0-0

Dayana Yastremska has a 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on hard. Regarding the last 10 years, Dayana has a 103-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Ukrainian won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Ukrainian’s best result of this current season was reaching the final Linz.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Yastremska reached the 2nd round in 2024 in Indian Wells before retiring against Emma Raducanu when she was 4-0 ret..

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Dayana Yastremska

This match would represent the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Dayana Yastremska play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Swiatek on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Iga Swiatek

10 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
8
WLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-5 8-4 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1

Karolina Muchova has a 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard. In the last 10 years, Karolina has a 120-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Muchova won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Czech’s best achievement of the season was getting to the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Czech didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Muchova

This match would represent the 5th time that Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Iga Swiatek could face Katerina Siniakova. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Iga Swiatek.

1/4 – Qinwen Zheng’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-1 for Iga Swiatek

2 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
9
High
5
WLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-3 2-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0
2020 38-8 3-3 26-3 9-2 0-0 0-0
2019 14-11 14-8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 14-9 12-8 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Qinwen Zheng has a 2-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 9 years, Zheng has a 119-56 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Chinese capitulated to Yue Yuan in the 2nd round 6-4 6-3.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Qinwen Zheng

This would be the 8th time that Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng face off. The head to head is 6-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Iga Swiatek may square off with Marta Kostyuk. Their head to head is 3-0 for Iga Swiatek

.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-4 for Iga Swiatek

14 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
WWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-4 14-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 14-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 17 years, the American has a 265-130 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jessica will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 6 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the season was conquering the competition in Austin where she defeated Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American lost to Anna Blinkova in the 2nd round 6-2 3-6 6-3.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula

This contest would be 11th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 6-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-4 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Iga Swiatek could compete against Elena Rybakina. Their head to head is 4-4.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

13 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-3 13-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 13-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the previous 10 years, Sabalenka has a 240-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current season was conquering the competition in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Sabalenka capitulated to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 13th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Iga Swiatek could square off with Cori Gauff. Their H2H record is 11-3 for Iga Swiatek.