Iga Swiatek and Dayana Yastremska will face off in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.1
Dayana Yastremska -> 6.95

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Dayana Yastremska

This will be the 3^rd time that Iga Swiatek and Dayana Yastremska fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Swiatek won 7-5 6-0 in the 3^rd round in Dubai back in February 2025.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Dayana Yastremska – Dubai 19-February-2025

Iga Swiatek

Ranked no. 2, Swiatek got to the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-0.

In the 2^nd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Garcia (6-2 6-0). During the match, Swiatek scored 57 points vs Garcia’s 31. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek bagged 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 64% of her first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Garcia 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).

Swiatek has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (364-80). 15-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has a compiled 177-46 record in the last years on hard.

Swiatek’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Australia.

Swiatek has a composed 15-4 win-loss record in 2025, 15-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Dayana Yastremska

Ranked no. 46, Dayana got to the 3^rd round after defeating Yue Yuan 6-2 6-4 and Ons Jabeur 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Dayana had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-3 6-1). During the match Yastremska scored 64 points vs Jabeur’s 43. Dayana was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Yastremska couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Dayana Yastremska lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 55% of her first serves in, winning 63% (20/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. Dayana broke Jabeur 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Yastremska hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Dayana’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Linz.

Dayana has a composed 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2021, 2023 and 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Yastremska
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	14	34
Pts	57-31	132-96
Total Points	88	228
Winners	19	39
%Winners	33%	30%

Swiatek played 1 match while Yastremska competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Yastremska (2 vs 4). Therefore, Swiatek played 20 games less than Yastremska. The Pole scored 19 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Yastremska blasted 39 winners (30%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Yastremska
Aces	3	1
Avg per match	3	0.5
1st in	28/44	59/121
%1st in	64%	49%
1st pts	19/28	39/59
%1st pts	68%	66%
2nd pts	9/16	35/62
%2nd pts	56%	56%

Swiatek bagged 3 aces . Yastremska managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Swiatek won 68% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Yastremska
Won	6	11
Converted	6/9	11/18
% Converted	67%	61%
Conceded	4	14
Saved	3	10
% Saved	75%	71%
Times Broken	1	4

Iga broke her opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R2 Garcia	Total
Score	6-2 6-0
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	14	14
pts	57-31	57-31
Total points	88	88
Winners	19	19
%Winners	33%	33%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	28/44	28/44
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	19/28	19/28
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	9/16	9/16
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/9	6/9
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Yastremska
	R1 Yuan	R2 Jabeur	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	16	34
pts	68-53	64-43	132-96
Total points	121	107	228
Winners	19	20	39
%Winners	28%	31%	30%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1
Double Faults	4	1	5
1st in	27/63	32/58	59/121
% 1st in	43%	55%	49%
1st pts	19/27	20/32	39/59
% 1st pts	70%	63%	66%
2nd pts	20/36	15/26	35/62
% 2nd pts	56%	58%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/10	6/8	11/18
Converted %	50%	75%	61%
Conceded	6	8	14
Saved	4/6	6/8	10
Saved %	67%	75%	142%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Iva JovicJovic (7-6³ 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Sonay KartalKartal – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-7² 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Xinyu WangWang – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Lulu SunSun – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Clara TausonTauson – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (7-6³ 7-5) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Caroline DolehideDolehide – Eva LysLys (7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-1 6-7⁸ 6-3) – See score progression
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Suzan LamensLamens (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Magda LinetteLinette (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Thomas FancuttFancutt – Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile Manole (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Giovanni FonioFonio – Justin ButschButsch (6-7⁴ 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek Puches (6-1 0-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Nicolae FrunzaFrunza (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander IgoshinIgoshin – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Maxime ChazalChazal – Matvey MininMinin (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Sonay KartalKartal – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Iva JovicJovic (7-6(3) 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caty McNallyMcNally – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction