Karolina Muchova and Katerina Siniakova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.39
Katerina Siniakova -> 2.99

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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Katerina Siniakova

This will be the 2nd time that Karolina Muchova and Katerina Siniakova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Siniakova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Siniakova won 6-4 4-6 6-0 in the 1st round in Dubai back in 2020.

Highlights Katerina Siniakova vs Karolina Muchova – Dubai 18-February-2020

Karolina Muchova

Karolina Muchova

10 - 5win/loss

Hard
8-4
I Hard
2-1
Rank
15
High
8
WLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-5 8-4 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 15, Karolina got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Muchova had a good straight sets win against Cocciaretto (6-4 6-3). During the match, Muchova scored 64 points vs Cocciaretto’s 54. Karolina was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Muchova struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Cocciaretto 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Muchova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (236-113). 8-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muchova has an overall 120-49 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Czech’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Karolina has an overall 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Muchova's Record

Katerina Siniakova

Katerina Siniakova

9 - 5win/loss

Hard
6-3
I Hard
3-2
Rank
59
High
27
WWLWWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-5 6-3 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 35-25 18-16 9-6 1-1 7-2 0-0
2023 24-20 18-16 0-1 0-1 6-2 0-0
2022 28-21 21-13 6-5 1-0 0-3 0-0
2021 23-19 9-10 7-4 1-3 6-2 0-0

Ranked no. 59, the Czech got to the 3rd round after defeating Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 6-1 and Yulia Putintseva 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Putintseva (6-2 6-2). During the match Siniakova scored 74 points vs Putintseva’s 55. Siniakova was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Siniakova recorded 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Katerina Siniakova lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Siniakova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 62% (23/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. Katerina broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Katerina hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

Siniakova’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Napoca.

Siniakova has an overall 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017. See her history.

Indian Wells
Siniakova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Muchova
K.Siniakova
1h:25
1h:25
Time on court​
!
2h:59
2h:59
1h:25
1h:25
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
19
19
Games Played​
31
31
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
64
64
Total points​
142
142
64
64
Avg point​
71
71
26
26
Winners
39
39
26
26
Avg Winners​
19.5
19.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
27%
27%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
2
2
4
4
Avg Aces
1
1
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
26/40
26/40
1st won total​
39/65
39/65
65%
65%
1st won %
60%
60%
13/25
13/25
2nd won total​
24/40
24/40
52%
52%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
5/12
5/12
BP won
12/33
12/33
5/12
5/12
Avg BP won
6/16.5
6/16.5
42%
42%
Won
36%
36%
9
9
Conceded
11
11
9
9
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
3
3
Broken
3
3
3
3
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
6
6
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Muchova Siniakova
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 19 31
Pts 64-54 142-100
Total Points 118 242
Winners 26 39
%Winners 41% 27%

Muchova played 1 match while Siniakova competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Muchova has played 2 set(s) less than Siniakova (2 vs 4). Therefore, Muchova played 12 games less than Siniakova. The Czech scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech scored 39 winners (27%).

Serve Performance

Serve Muchova Siniakova
Aces 4 2
Avg per match 4 1
1st in 40/65 65/105
%1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 26/40 39/65
%1st pts 65% 60%
2nd pts 13/25 24/40
%2nd pts 52% 60%

Muchova struck 4 aces . Siniakova struck 2 aces (1 per match). Muchova won 65% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Siniakova won 60% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Muchova Siniakova
Won 5 12
Converted 5/12 12/33
% Converted 42% 36%
Conceded 9 11
Saved 6 8
% Saved 67% 73%
Times Broken 3 3

Karolina broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Muchova surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Siniakova broke her opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Muchova
R2
Cocciaretto
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 64-54 64-54
Total points 118 118
Winners 26 26
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 40/65 40/65
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 26/40 26/40
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 13/25 13/25
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/12 5/12
Converted % 42% 42%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 6/9 6
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 3 3
Siniakova
R1
Lourdes
R2
Putintseva
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 16 31
pts 68-45 74-55 142-100
Total points 113 129 242
Winners 16 23 39
%Winners 24% 31% 27%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 2
Double Faults 2 5 7
1st in 28/45 37/60 65/105
% 1st in 62% 62% 62%
1st pts 16/28 23/37 39/65
% 1st pts 57% 62% 60%
2nd pts 10/17 14/23 24/40
% 2nd pts 59% 61% 60%
Breaks
Won 7 5 12
Converted 7/18 5/15 12/33
Converted % 39% 33% 36%
Conceded 4 7 11
Saved 2/4 6/7 8
Saved % 50% 86% 136%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw