Marta Kostyuk and Caroline Dolehide will face off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.25
Caroline Dolehide -> 3.94

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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Caroline Dolehide

This will be the 2nd time that Marta Kostyuk and Caroline Dolehide square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kostyuk (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kostyuk won 6-3 7-5 in the 1st round in Doha back in 2024.

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

8 - 6win/loss

Hard
8-6
I Hard
0-0
Rank
26
High
16
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-20 19-13 7-4 2-0 0-3 0-0
2024 34-22 24-14 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Marta got to the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Robin Montgomery 6-1 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Montgomery (6-1 6-3). During the match, Kostyuk scored 58 points vs Montgomery’s 34. Marta was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kostyuk managed to score 2 aces and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Marta Kostyuk was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (21/29) of her 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Ukrainian broke Montgomery 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Kostyuk has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (225-136). 7-6 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Kostyuk has a compiled 122-74 record in the last years on hard.

The Ukrainian has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Kostyuk's Record

Caroline Dolehide

Caroline Dolehide

6 - 5win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
1-2
Rank
111
High
41
WLLLWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-26 13-15 8-6 1-2 2-3 0-0
2024 20-27 14-18 3-4 0-0 3-5 0-0
2023 45-24 21-13 24-8 0-0 0-3 0-0
2022 27-26 20-15 7-9 0-0 0-2 0-0
2021 11-23 9-14 1-6 0-1 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 73, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-2 7-6(3) and Eva Lys 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Caroline had a good straight sets win against Lys (7-63 6-4). During the match Dolehide scored 84 points vs Lys’s 67. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Dolehide scored 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Caroline Dolehide was very effective on serve to win 76% (37/49) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Lys twice after converting 22% of her break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dolehide hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Dolehide has a compiled 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2024. See her history.

Indian Wells
Dolehide's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Kostyuk
C.Dolehide
1h:11
1h:11
Time on court​
!
3h:23
3h:23
1h:11
1h:11
Last match​
1h:38
1h:38
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
16
16
Games Played​
44
44
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
58
58
Total points​
162
162
58
58
Avg point​
81
81
21
21
Winners
74
74
21
21
Avg Winners​
37
37
36%
36%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
5
5
2
2
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
0
0
Double Faults
7
7
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
21/29
21/29
1st won total​
74/106
74/106
!
72%
72%
1st won %
70%
70%
11/17
11/17
2nd won total​
18/39
18/39
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
5/6
5/6
BP won
7/17
7/17
5/6
5/6
Avg BP won
3.5/8.5
3.5/8.5
!
83%
83%
Won
41%
41%
2
2
Conceded
11
11
2
2
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
1
1
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
1
1
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kostyuk Dolehide
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 16 44
Pts 58-34 162-131
Total Points 92 293
Winners 21 74
%Winners 36% 46%

Kostyuk played 1 match while Dolehide competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Kostyuk has played 2 set(s) less than Dolehide (2 vs 4). Therefore, Kostyuk played 28 games less than Dolehide. Kostyuk scored 21 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Dolehide fired 74 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kostyuk Dolehide
Aces 2 5
Avg per match 2 2.5
1st in 29/46 106/145
%1st in 63% 73%
1st pts 21/29 74/106
%1st pts 72% 70%
2nd pts 11/17 18/39
%2nd pts 65% 46%

Kostyuk struck 2 aces . Dolehide struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Kostyuk won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Dolehide won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kostyuk Dolehide
Won 5 7
Converted 5/6 7/17
% Converted 83% 41%
Conceded 2 11
Saved 1 7
% Saved 50% 64%
Times Broken 1 4

Marta broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Ukrainian dropped her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Dolehide conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Kostyuk
R2
Montgomery
Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 58-34 58-34
Total points 92 92
Winners 21 21
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 29/46 29/46
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 21/29 21/29
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 11/17 11/17
% 2nd pts 65% 65%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/6 5/6
Converted % 83% 83%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1
Dolehide
R1
Rakhimova
R2
Lys
Total
Score 6-2 7-63 7-63 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 23 44
pts 78-64 84-67 162-131
Total points 142 151 293
Winners 37 37 74
%Winners 47% 44% 46%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 57/76 49/69 106/145
% 1st in 75% 71% 73%
1st pts 37/57 37/49 74/106
% 1st pts 65% 76% 70%
2nd pts 7/19 11/20 18/39
% 2nd pts 37% 55% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/8 2/9 7/17
Converted % 63% 22% 41%
Conceded 7 4 11
Saved 4/7 3/4 7
Saved % 57% 75% 132%
Times Broken 3 1 4

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw