Jessica Pegula and Xinyu Wang will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.22
Xinyu Wang -> 4.3
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Xinyu Wang
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Xinyu Wang face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Wang (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Wang won 6-3 7-5 in the 3rd round in Wuhan back in 2024.
Highlights Xinyu Wang vs Jessica Pegula – Wuhan 10-October-2024
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-13 | 20-6 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Magda Linette 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-4 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 63 points vs Linette’s 47. Jessica was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula scored 2 aces and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 66% of her first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Linette 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (318-161). 14-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has an aggregate 218-94 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.
Jessica has an aggregate 14-4 win-loss record in 2025, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Xinyu Wang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-16 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-26 | 20-18 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-24 | 32-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 8-14 | 5-5 | 15-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-26 | 10-9 | 6-8 | 14-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Wang reached the 3rd round after beating Mayar Sherif 6-4 7-5 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Xinyu had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-4 6-4). During the match Wang scored 65 points vs Ostapenko’s 62. Xinyu was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Wang bagged 7 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Xinyu Wang lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Wang put 57% of her first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Ostapenko 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Wang’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Singapore.
Xinyu has an overall 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 42 |
| Pts | 63-47 | 151-137 |
| Total Points | 110 | 288 |
| Winners | 25 | 67 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Pegula played 1 match while Wang competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Pegula has played 2 set(s) less than Wang (2 vs 4). Therefore, Pegula played 24 games less than Wang. Pegula scored 25 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese blasted 67 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 85/155 |
| %1st in | 66% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 67/85 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 29/70 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 41% |
Pegula struck 2 aces . Wang struck 8 aces (4 per match). Pegula won 68% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Wang won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 7/12 |
| % Converted | 42% | 58% |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Saved | 4 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Xinyu broke her opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Wang conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-47 | 63-47 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 37/56 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 25/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Wang | ||||
| R1 Sherif |
R2 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 42 | |
| pts | 86-75 | 65-62 | 151-137 | |
| Total points | 161 | 127 | 288 | |
| Winners | 35 | 32 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 43/81 | 42/74 | 85/155 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 35/43 | 32/42 | 67/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/38 | 14/32 | 29/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 44% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/4 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 75% | 146% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
LWLWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Iva JovicJovic (7-63 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-1 6-78 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Suzan LamensLamens (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Magda LinetteLinette (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Lulu SunSun – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Eva LysLys (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-72 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Thomas FancuttFancutt – Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile Manole (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Giovanni FonioFonio – Justin ButschButsch (6-74 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek Puches (6-1 0-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Nicolae FrunzaFrunza (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander IgoshinIgoshin – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Matvey MininMinin (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Iva JovicJovic (7-6(3) 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction
