Elena Rybakina and Katie Boulter will play each other in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.24
Katie Boulter -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Katie Boulter

This will be the 2^nd time that Elena Rybakina and Katie Boulter square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Rybakina won 6-1 6-1 in the 3^rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter – Wimbledon 08-July-2023

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 7, Rybakina reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Suzan Lamens 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Lamens (6-3 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 74 points vs Lamens’s 58. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 77% (33/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Lamens 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Rybakina has a great record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (339-146). 14-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a compiled 163-75 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Rybakina’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 14-5 win-loss record in 2025, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Katie Boulter

Ranked no. 38, Katie reached the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Irina-Camelia Begu 6-7(2) 6-3 6-0.

In the 2^nd round against Begu, Boulter recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 6-3 6-0). During the match Boulter scored 103 points vs Begu’s 80. Katie was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Boulter made 2 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve twice and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Boulter put 55% of her first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the 2nd serve. Boulter broke Begu 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Katie has a composed 4-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2022 and 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Boulter
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	18	28
Pts	74-58	103-80
Total Points	132	183
Winners	33	38
%Winners	45%	37%

Both Rybakina and Boulter played 1 match. At the moment, Katie Boulter dropped 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t lost a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Boulter (2 vs 3). Therefore, Rybakina played 10 games less than Boulter. Elena scored 33 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 38 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Boulter
Aces	5	2
Avg per match	5	2
1st in	43/67	57/104
%1st in	64%	55%
1st pts	33/43	38/57
%1st pts	77%	67%
2nd pts	10/24	26/47
%2nd pts	42%	55%

Rybakina scored 5 aces . Boulter recorded 2 aces . Rybakina won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Boulter
Won	4	6
Converted	4/7	6/10
% Converted	57%	60%
Conceded	4	11
Saved	3	9
% Saved	75%	82%
Times Broken	1	2

Rybakina broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Katie broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Boulter conceded her serve twice and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Lamens	Total
Score	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	74-58	74-58
Total points	132	132
Winners	33	33
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	43/67	43/67
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	33/43	33/43
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	10/24	10/24
% 2nd pts	42%	42%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Boulter
	R2 Begu	Total
Score	6-72 6-3 6-0
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	28	28
pts	103-80	103-80
Total points	183	183
Winners	38	38
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	9	9
1st in	57/104	57/104
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	38/57	38/57
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	26/47	26/47
% 2nd pts	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/10	6/10
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	9/11	9
Saved %	82%	82%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Madison KeysKeys – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Iva JovicJovic (7-6³ 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Sonay KartalKartal – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-1 6-7⁸ 6-3) – See score progression
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Suzan LamensLamens (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Magda LinetteLinette (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Lulu SunSun – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Caroline DolehideDolehide – Eva LysLys (7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-7² 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Xinyu WangWang – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Clara TausonTauson – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (7-6³ 7-5) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Nicolae FrunzaFrunza (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander IgoshinIgoshin – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Maxime ChazalChazal – Matvey MininMinin (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Thomas FancuttFancutt – Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile Manole (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Giovanni FonioFonio – Justin ButschButsch (6-7⁴ 7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek Puches (6-1 0-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Sonay KartalKartal – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Iva JovicJovic (7-6(3) 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 3-6 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caty McNallyMcNally – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction