Tommy Paul and Cameron Norrie will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.35
Cameron Norrie -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Cameron Norrie

This will be the 6^th time that Tommy Paul and Cameron Norrie fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Norrie (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Norrie won 6-4 7-5 6-4 in the 4^th round in at the Wimbledon back in 2022.

Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Tommy Paul – Wimbledon 03-July-2022

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 11, Tommy reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Tristan Boyer 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Boyer (6-3 6-1). During the match, Paul scored 62 points vs Boyer’s 39. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paul fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Tommy Paul was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (16/22) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Boyer 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (356-204). 8-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a compiled 185-105 record in the last years on hard.

Tommy’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide and Dallas.

The American has an aggregate 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Cameron Norrie

Ranked no. 77, Cameron got to the 3^rd round after defeating Luca Nardi 6-0 6-3 and Jiri Lehecka 3-6 6-4 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Lehecka, Norrie recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 7-5).During the match Norrie scored less points (5) than Lehecka. In fact, the world no. 11 won 99 points vs Lehecka’s. That means that Norrie was more focused during the important points. Cameron was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

About the serving games, Norrie scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 60% of his first serves in, winning 68% (45/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the 2nd serve. Cameron broke Lehecka 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Norrie has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Brit has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Norrie
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	16	46
Pts	62-39	158-136
Total Points	101	294
Winners	16	68
%Winners	26%	43%

Paul played 1 match while Norrie competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie dropped 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paul has played 3 set(s) less than Norrie (2 vs 5). Therefore, Paul played 30 games less than Norrie. Paul scored 16 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, Cameron fired 68 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Norrie
Aces	4	9
Avg per match	4	4.5
1st in	22/41	92/153
%1st in	54%	60%
1st pts	16/22	68/92
%1st pts	73%	74%
2nd pts	14/19	33/61
%2nd pts	74%	54%

Paul fired 4 aces . Norrie managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Paul won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 74% of the points. On the other side, Norrie won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Norrie
Won	5	7
Converted	5/7	7/16
% Converted	71%	44%
Conceded	2	13
Saved	1	11
% Saved	50%	85%
Times Broken	1	2

Paul broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Norrie conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
	R2 Boyer	Total
Score	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	62-39	62-39
Total points	101	101
Winners	16	16
%Winners	26%	26%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	22/41	22/41
% 1st in	54%	54%
1st pts	16/22	16/22
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	14/19	14/19
% 2nd pts	74%	74%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Norrie
	R1 Nardi	R2 Lehecka	Total
Score	6-0 6-3	3-6 6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	15	31	46
pts	59-32	99-104	158-136
Total points	91	203	294
Winners	23	45	68
%Winners	39%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	9
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	26/43	66/110	92/153
% 1st in	60%	60%	60%
1st pts	23/26	45/66	68/92
% 1st pts	88%	68%	74%
2nd pts	10/17	23/44	33/61
% 2nd pts	59%	52%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/10	3/6	7/16
Converted %	40%	50%	44%
Conceded	1	12	13
Saved	1/1	10/12	11
Saved %	100%	83%	183%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6³ 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Tomas MachacMachac (4-6 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (7-6⁴ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Zizou BergsBergs (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Colton SmithSmith (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-2 7-6²) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (7-6⁴ 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Rinky HijikataHijikata (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6(3) 6-1) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-6) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-0) – H2H and prediction