Lorenzo Musetti and Arthur Fils will play each other in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arthur Fils who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Arthur Fils is the pick to win this match.
Arthur Fils -> 1.7
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Arthur Fils

This will be the 2^nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Arthur Fils play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Musetti won 6-3 7-5 in the 2^nd round in Monte carlo back in 2024.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur Fils – Monte carlo 09-April-2024

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 16, Lorenzo reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Roman Safiullin 7-5 5-7 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Musetti defeated Safiullin (7-5 5-7 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 109 points vs Safiullin’s 98. Musetti was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti bagged 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 64% of his first serves in, winning 68% (46/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. Musetti broke Safiullin 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Musetti has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (225-163). 4-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has a compiled54-48 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Italian has an aggregate 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Arthur Fils

Ranked no. 21, Arthur reached the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Arthur had a good straight sets win against Diallo (6-2 6-2). During the match Fils scored 60 points vs Diallo’s 32. Fils was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

About the serving games, Fils couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Arthur Fils was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (22/25) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Diallo 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

The French player has a compiled 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Fils
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	32	16
Pts	109-98	60-32
Total Points	207	92
Winners	46	22
%Winners	42%	37%

Both Musetti and Fils played 1 match. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set while Arthur Fils hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Musetti has played 1 set more than Fils (3 vs 2). Therefore, Musetti played 16 games more than Fils. Musetti scored 46 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 22 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Fils
Aces	5	0
Avg per match	5	0
1st in	68/107	25/37
%1st in	64%	68%
1st pts	46/68	22/25
%1st pts	68%	88%
2nd pts	17/39	7/12
%2nd pts	44%	58%

Musetti bagged 5 aces . Fils didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Musetti won 68% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Fils won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Fils
Won	6	5
Converted	6/12	5/8
% Converted	50%	63%
Conceded	8	1
Saved	4	0
% Saved	50%	0%
Times Broken	4	1

Musetti broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Musetti dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Arthur broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R2 Safiullin	Total
Score	7-5 5-7 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	109-98	109-98
Total points	207	207
Winners	46	46
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	68/107	68/107
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	46/68	46/68
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	17/39	17/39
% 2nd pts	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/12	6/12
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	4/8	4
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	4	4

Fils
	R2 Diallo	Total
Score	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	60-32	60-32
Total points	92	92
Winners	22	22
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	25/37	25/37
% 1st in	68%	68%
1st pts	22/25	22/25
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	7/12	7/12
% 2nd pts	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/8	5/8
Converted %	63%	63%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6³ 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert Hurkacz
  Hurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (7-6⁴ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Zizou BergsBergs (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Colton SmithSmith (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-2 7-6²) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (7-6⁴ 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Tomas MachacMachac (4-6 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Rinky HijikataHijikata (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6(3) 6-1) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-6) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-0) – H2H and prediction