Alexei Popyrin and Marcos Giron will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexei Popyrin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexei Popyrin is the pick to win this match.
Alexei Popyrin -> 1.81
Marcos Giron -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Alexei Popyrin vs. Marcos Giron

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexei Popyrin and Marcos Giron fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Popyrin and Giron (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Popyrin won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Adelaide back in 2023.

Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Marcos Giron – Adelaide 04-January-2023

Alexei Popyrin

Ranked no. 27, Popyrin reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Zizou Bergs 7-6(4) 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Alexei had a good straight sets win against Bergs (7-6⁴ 7-5). During the match, Popyrin scored 88 points vs Bergs’s 80. Popyrin was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Popyrin struck 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (41/52) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexei broke Bergs twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Popyrin has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (275-218). 2-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Popyrin has a composed 138-103 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Australian has an aggregate 2-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Marcos Giron

Ranked no. 48, Giron reached the 3^rd round after defeating Nikoloz Basilashvili 7-5 7-6(3) and Casper Ruud 7-6(4) 3-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Marcos defeated Ruud (7-6⁴ 3-6 6-2). During the match Giron scored 111 points vs Ruud’s 105. Giron was exceptionally aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Giron fired 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Marcos Giron lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Giron put 61% of his first serves in, winning 74% (52/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Ruud 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Giron has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The American has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2019. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Popyrin	Giron
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	25	55
Pts	88-80	197-184
Total Points	168	381
Winners	41	85
%Winners	47%	43%

Popyrin played 1 match while Giron competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Marcos Giron dropped 1 set while Alexei Popyrin hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Popyrin has played 3 set(s) less than Giron (2 vs 5). Therefore, Popyrin played 30 games less than Giron. Popyrin scored 41 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Giron scored 85 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Popyrin	Giron
Aces	5	15
Avg per match	5	7.5
1st in	52/83	115/187
%1st in	63%	61%
1st pts	41/52	85/115
%1st pts	79%	74%
2nd pts	16/31	35/72
%2nd pts	52%	49%

Popyrin struck 5 aces . Giron fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Popyrin won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Popyrin	Giron
Won	2	5
Converted	2/6	5/14
% Converted	33%	36%
Conceded	5	13
Saved	4	9
% Saved	80%	69%
Times Broken	1	4

Alexei broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Popyrin dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Giron broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Marcos conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Popyrin
	R2 Bergs	Total
Score	7-64 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	25	25
pts	88-80	88-80
Total points	168	168
Winners	41	41
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	52/83	52/83
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	41/52	41/52
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	16/31	16/31
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/6	2/6
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Giron
	R1 Basilashvili	R2 Ruud	Total
Score	7-5 7-63	7-64 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	25	30	55
pts	86-79	111-105	197-184
Total points	165	216	381
Winners	33	52	85
%Winners	38%	47%	43%
SERVE
Aces	11	4	15
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	45/72	70/115	115/187
% 1st in	63%	61%	61%
1st pts	33/45	52/70	85/115
% 1st pts	73%	74%	74%
2nd pts	16/27	19/45	35/72
% 2nd pts	59%	42%	49%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/7	3/7	5/14
Converted %	29%	43%	36%
Conceded	2	11	13
Saved	1/2	8/11	9
Saved %	50%	73%	123%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6³ 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De Zandschulp
  Van De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (7-6⁴ 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Tomas MachacMachac (4-6 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (7-6⁴ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Zizou BergsBergs (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Colton SmithSmith (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-2 7-6²) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Rinky HijikataHijikata (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6(3) 6-1) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-6) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-0) – H2H and prediction