Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.62
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.3

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 7^th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 5-1 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Tsitsipas won 7-6(5) 1-6 6-4 in the quarter in Dubai back in February 2025.

Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Berrettini – Dubai 27-February-2025

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranked no. 9, the Greek reached the 3^rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Tsitsipas had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (6-2 6-4). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 68 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 52. Stefanos was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tsitsipas managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Stefanos Tsitsipas was quite effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tsitsipas broke Seyboth Wild 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Tsitsipas has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (466-211). 7-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tsitsipas has an overall 165-85 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Dubai where he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 6-3 6-3.

Tsitsipas has an overall 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 29, Berrettini got to the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Christopher O Connell 6-2 7-6(2).

In the 2^nd round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-2 7-6²). During the match Berrettini scored 69 points vs O Connell’s 55. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Berrettini fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matteo Berrettini conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke O Connell twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Berrettini has an overall 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tsitsipas	Berrettini
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	21
Pts	68-52	69-55
Total Points	120	124
Winners	26	28
%Winners	38%	41%

Both Tsitsipas and Berrettini played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tsitsipas and Berrettini have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Tsitsipas played 3 games less than Berrettini. Stefanos scored 26 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 28 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tsitsipas	Berrettini
Aces	4	7
Avg per match	4	7
1st in	34/49	40/63
%1st in	69%	63%
1st pts	26/34	28/40
%1st pts	76%	70%
2nd pts	12/15	17/23
%2nd pts	80%	74%

Tsitsipas struck 4 aces . Berrettini blasted 7 aces . Tsitsipas won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tsitsipas	Berrettini
Won	3	2
Converted	3/8	2/3
% Converted	38%	67%
Conceded	2	1
Saved	2	1
% Saved	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

The Greek broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Greek extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Berrettini broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Matteo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Tsitsipas
	R2 Seyboth	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	68-52	68-52
Total points	120	120
Winners	26	26
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	34/49	34/49
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	26/34	26/34
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	12/15	12/15
% 2nd pts	80%	80%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Berrettini
	R2 O	Total
Score	6-2 7-62
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	69-55	69-55
Total points	124	124
Winners	28	28
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	40/63	40/63
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	28/40	28/40
% 1st pts	70%	70%
2nd pts	17/23	17/23
% 2nd pts	74%	74%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/3	2/3
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6³ 6-1) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo Gaston
  Gaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (7-6⁴ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Zizou BergsBergs (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Colton SmithSmith (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-2 7-6²) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (7-6⁴ 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Tomas MachacMachac (4-6 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Rinky HijikataHijikata (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (4-6 7-6(3) 6-1) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-6) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rinky HijikataHijikata – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-0) – H2H and prediction