H2H, prediction of Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick | 9th March 2025

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Rune and Humbert will play each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Sunday the 9th of March

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Ugo Humbert

Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.87
Ugo Humbert -> 1.93

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Ugo Humbert

This will be the 4th time that Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rune won 6-4 6-2 7-6(5) in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in 2023.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert – Australian Open 21-January-2023

Holger Rune

Holger Rune
Holger Rune

8 - 6win/loss

Hard
6-3
I Hard
2-2
Clay
0-1
Rank
8
High
4
LWWLWWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-13 9-5 9-5 2-2 2-1 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 13, Rune reached the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-2 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 65 points vs Moutet’s 48. Holger was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Holger Rune was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (24/34) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rune broke Moutet 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Rune has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (258-136). 5-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a composed56-45 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Dane has a composed 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Rune
Indian Wells
Rune's Record

Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert

11 - 4win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
5-0
Rank
20
High
13
LLWWLWLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-12 6-5 2-5 5-0 2-2 0-0
2024 39-24 18-9 5-7 11-4 5-4 0-0
2023 49-26 17-11 13-5 16-6 3-4 0-0
2022 33-29 16-11 3-7 11-6 3-5 0-0
2021 19-20 6-7 1-6 4-5 8-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 19, the French player reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Kei Nishikori 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Ugo had a good straight sets win against Nishikori (6-4 6-3). During the match Humbert scored 66 points vs Nishikori’s 51. Humbert was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Humbert blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ugo Humbert lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 50% of his first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Ugo broke Nishikori 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

His best result of the season was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

Ugo has an aggregate 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Humbert
Indian Wells
Humbert's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Rune
U.Humbert
1h:46
1h:46
Time on court​
1h:28
1h:28
1h:46
1h:46
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
1
1
Match played
1
1
18
18
Games Played​
19
19
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
65
65
Total points​
66
66
65
65
Avg point​
66
66
24
24
Winners
27
27
24
24
Avg Winners​
27
27
37%
37%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
7
7
2
2
Avg Aces
7
7
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
3
3
24/34
24/34
1st won total​
27/35
27/35
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
9/16
9/16
2nd won total​
17/35
17/35
56%
56%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
5/11
5/11
BP won
4/5
4/5
5/11
5/11
Avg BP won
4/5
4/5
45%
45%
Won
!
80%
80%
5
5
Conceded
6
6
5
5
Avg Conceded
6
6
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
3
3
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Humbert
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 19
Pts 65-48 66-51
Total Points 113 117
Winners 24 27
%Winners 37% 41%

Both Rune and Humbert played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Humbert have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rune played 1 game less than Humbert. The Dane scored 24 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The French player managed to score 27 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Humbert
Aces 2 7
Avg per match 2 7
1st in 34/50 35/70
%1st in 68% 50%
1st pts 24/34 27/35
%1st pts 71% 77%
2nd pts 9/16 17/35
%2nd pts 56% 49%

Rune made 2 aces . Humbert managed to score 7 aces . Rune won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Humbert
Won 5 4
Converted 5/11 4/5
% Converted 45% 80%
Conceded 5 6
Saved 3 4
% Saved 60% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

The Dane broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Rune surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R2
Moutet		 Total
Score 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 65-48 65-48
Total points 113 113
Winners 24 24
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 34/50 34/50
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 24/34 24/34
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 9/16 9/16
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/11 5/11
Converted % 45% 45%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2
Humbert
R2
Nishikori		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 66-51 66-51
Total points 117 117
Winners 27 27
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 35/70 35/70
% 1st in 50% 50%
1st pts 27/35 27/35
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 17/35 17/35
% 2nd pts 49% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Holger Rune
  • 0Slam
  • 5Main
  • 5Chall
  • 4Minor
Ugo Humbert
  • 0Slam
  • 7Main
  • 9Chall
  • 4Minor

Holger
Rune

4:0

Ugo
Humbert

Rank

8

High

4

3Hard0

1I.hard0

Rank

20

High

13

Win Loss
Rune
LWWLWWWLWL
Humbert
LLWWLWLLLW
2025 2024 2023
21 - 12
14 - 12
9-5
Hard
6-5
1-1
I Hard
4-0
9-5
Clay
2-5
2-1
Grass
2-2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rune Holger Rune
More Stats
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Humbert Ugo Humbert