Madison Keys is about to commence her run in the draw in Indian Wells. The past year in Indian Wells, Keys lost in the 3rd round to Yulia Putintseva 6-4 6-1. In the previous edition of this tournament, she managed to beat Hailey Baptiste 6-4 4-6 7-6(4).

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw alongsideherlikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Keys has a losing record (12-15) with the projected opposition.

R1R1 – Bye
R2 – Anastasia Potapova (34) – H2H 1-1
R3 – Elise Mertens (28) – H2H 3-2
or Kimberly Birrell (76) – H2H 1-0
R4 – Emma Navarro (8) – H2H 1-2
or Donna Vekic (22) – H2H 2-1
1/4 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-2
or Diana Shnaider (13) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-4
or Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 2-4
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 2-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R2 – Anastasia Potapova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

24 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
51
High
21
LWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-16 10-11 6-3 7-1 1-1 0-0
2024 28-22 17-13 6-5 2-1 3-3 0-0
2023 30-21 11-14 7-4 7-1 5-2 0-0
2022 35-24 14-14 18-7 3-2 0-1 0-0
2021 21-23 11-11 3-5 5-5 2-2 0-0
2020 11-6 7-5 0-0 4-1 0-0 0-0
2019 27-25 13-14 10-7 3-2 1-2 0-0
2018 32-15 15-5 12-5 5-4 0-0 0-1

Anastasia Potapova has a 12-4 record in 2025, 5-3 on hard. In connection to the last 11 years, the Russian has a 105-88 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Potapova won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this current year was winning the competition in Napoca where she defeated Lucia Bronzetti in the final 4-6 6-1 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open

Potapova surrendered to Marta Kostyuk in the quarter 6-0 7-5.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Anastasia Potapova

This contest would be 3rd time that Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Keys and Potapova (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

R3 – Elise Mertens’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

36 - 20win/loss in 2025

Rank
20
High
12
LWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-20 17-13 6-5 5-0 8-2 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
2020 34-13 17-7 9-4 8-2 0-0 0-0
2019 35-27 23-14 4-6 1-3 7-4 0-0
2018 46-21 25-13 16-2 1-2 4-4 0-0

Elise Mertens has a 13-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard. In the course of the previous 14 years, Mertens has a 271-140 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Elise won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this year was conquering the competition in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Mertens lost to Cori Gauff in the 4th round 6-0 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elise Mertens

This contest would be 6th time that Madison Keys and Elise Mertens play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Madison Keys may fight against Kimberly Birrell. Their H2H is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

R4 – Emma Navarro’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Emma Navarro

32 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
8
LLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-25 17-14 6-6 2-1 7-4 0-0
2024 54-24 33-14 14-7 0-0 7-3 0-0
2023 64-24 17-9 37-11 3-1 7-3 0-0
2022 31-18 8-8 23-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 19-13 6-6 13-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 2-7 0-4 2-2 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 10-12 3-4 7-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 19-9 2-3 12-5 5-1 0-0 0-0

Emma Navarro has a 10-5 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 9 years, the American has a 81-55 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this current year was conquering the title in Merida where she overcame Emiliana Arango in the final 6-0 6-0.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Emma lost to Maria Sakkari in the quarter 5-7 6-2 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Emma Navarro

This would be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Emma Navarro fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Navarro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Madison Keys may compete against Donna Vekic. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Madison Keys.

1/4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

48 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 9-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 9 years, Cori has a 139-61 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the season was winning the tournament in Australia where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Gauff was defeated by Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff

This would be the 6th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but Gauff has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Madison Keys could face Diana Shnaider. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 12-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the last 10 years, Aryna has a 239-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this current year was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Aryna was defeated by Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 7th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Madison Keys may take on Jasmine Paolini. Their H2H record is 1-1.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 15-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the last 10 years, the Pole has a 177-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Pole’s most significant result of this current year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Iga conquered the tournament after ousting Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 7th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Keys leads 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Madison Keys could play Jessica Pegula. Their H2H is 2-1 for Madison Keys.