Elise Mertens and Kimberly Birrell will square off in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 7. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.32
Kimberly Birrell -> 3.38

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Kimberly Birrell

This will be the 2nd time that Elise Mertens and Kimberly Birrell play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Birrell (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Birrell won 3-6 7-5 4-1 ret. in the 2nd round in Osaka back in 2024.

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens

14 - 4win/loss

Hard
9-4
I Hard
5-0
Rank
20
High
12
LWWLLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-20 17-13 6-5 5-0 8-2 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 28, Mertens will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match in Dubai where she lost 6-2 6-1 to Badosa in the 2nd round on the 18th of February.

Mertens has a compiled 13-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.

Talking about her overall career, The Belgian has an overall 460-264 record. She has a positive 271-140 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See her history.

Indian Wells
Mertens's Record

Kimberly Birrell

Kimberly Birrell

17 - 5win/loss

Hard
15-4
I Hard
2-1
Rank
94
High
60
LWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-29 31-17 1-5 3-2 6-5 0-0
2024 41-30 22-19 1-1 1-6 12-4 5-0
2023 42-33 32-21 4-7 0-1 1-4 5-0
2022 41-25 38-20 3-2 0-0 0-3 0-0
2021 2-4 2-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 76, Kimberly reached the 2nd round after beating Kristina Penickova 6-3 6-0, Cristina Bucsa 6-4 6-4 and Viktorija Golubic 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Birrell had a good straight sets win against Golubic (6-4 6-4). During the match Birrell scored 69 points vs Golubic’s 62. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Birrell scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Kimberly Birrell lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Birrell put 51% of her first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 35% (12/34) on the 2nd serve. Birrell broke Golubic 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Her best result of the season was winning the title the W75 Brisbane where she defeated Maddison Inglis in the final 6-2 4-6 7-6(2).

Kimberly has an overall 17-4 win-loss record in 2025, 15-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.

Indian Wells
Birrell's Record

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw