Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sofia Kenin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sofia Kenin is the pick to win this match.
Sofia Kenin -> 1.89
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Sofia Kenin
This will be the 6th time that Daria Kasatkina and Sofia Kenin square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Kenin (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kenin won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2024.
Highlights Sofia Kenin vs Daria Kasatkina – Tokyo 25-October-2024
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Kasatkina will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match in Dubai where she lost 6-1 6-4 to Cirstea in the 1st round on the 17th of February.
Kasatkina has an overall 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about her overall career, Kasatkina has an overall 393-223 record. She has a positive 180-128 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2018. See her history.
Sofia Kenin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-7 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-26 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, Kenin got to the 2nd round after defeating Maddison Inglis 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Sofia had a good straight sets win against Inglis (6-2 6-1). During the match Kenin scored 60 points vs Inglis’s 36. Sofia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Kenin blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Sofia Kenin conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Kenin put 66% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Kenin broke Inglis 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
The American has a composed 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018, 2019 and 2023. See her history.
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWLLWW
LWLWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Lulu SunSun – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Clara TausonTauson – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (7-63 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-72 6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Suzan LamensLamens (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thomas FancuttFancutt – Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile Manole (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni FonioFonio – Justin ButschButsch (6-74 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek Puches (6-1 0-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Nicolae FrunzaFrunza (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander IgoshinIgoshin – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Matvey MininMinin (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Xinyu WangXinyu – Jelena OstapenkoJelena (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideCaroline – Eva LysEva (7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekIga – Caroline GarciaCaroline (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction
