Hubert Hurkacz and Hugo Gaston will square off in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 2 sets.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.22
Hugo Gaston -> 4.3
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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Hugo Gaston
There is no head to head record between Hubert Hurkacz and Hugo Gaston since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Hubert will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Marseille where he lost 6-4 6-7(1) 6-3 to Zhang in the 2nd round on the 13th of February.
Hubert has an aggregate 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Hubert’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Australia.
Talking about his overall career, Hurkacz has an overall 400-239 record. He has a positive 189-94 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2019 and 2021. See his history.
Hugo Gaston
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-31 | 9-12 | 6-14 | 15-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-31 | 5-12 | 15-11 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-30 | 2-3 | 32-16 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 93, Gaston got to the 2nd round after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-2 6-4, Eliot Spizzirri 6-0 6-1 and Luciano Darderi 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Hugo had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-3 6-3). During the match Gaston scored 65 points vs Darderi’s 52. Hugo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Gaston blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Hugo Gaston lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gaston put 47% of his first serves in, winning 89% (25/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Hugo broke Darderi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Hugo has an overall 4-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (3-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Zizou BergsBergs (7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (7-64 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-2 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 7-65 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneHolger – Corentin MoutetCorentin (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenAlex – Colton SmithColton (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-0) – H2H and prediction