Andrey Rublev and Matteo Arnaldi will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.32
Matteo Arnaldi -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Rublev won 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in Montreal back in 2024.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Matteo Arnaldi – Montreal 11-August-2024
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-11 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rublev will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Dubai where he lost 3-6 6-4 7-6(5) to Halys in the 1st round on the 25th of February.
Rublev has an overall 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Doha where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.
Talking about his overall career, Andrey has an overall 487-267 record. He has a positive 196-100 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-11 | 6-6 | 5-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Italian got to the 2nd round after defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 5-7 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Italian defeated Kovacevic (6-3 5-7 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 101 points vs Kovacevic’s 97. Arnaldi was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Kovacevic 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Matteo has an overall 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
WLLLWLWLLL
WLLWWWWLLL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Zizou BergsBergs (7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-2 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 7-65 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (3-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (7-64 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-2) – H2H and prediction
