Guy Den Ouden and Luka Pavlovic will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 10:30 am on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Pavlovic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luka Pavlovic is the pick to win this match.
Luka Pavlovic -> 1.65
Guy Den Ouden -> 2.13

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Prediction and head to head Guy Den Ouden vs. Luka Pavlovic

There is no head to head record between Guy Den Ouden and Luka Pavlovic since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Guy Den Ouden

Ranked no. 317, the Dutch reached the semifinal after defeating Filip Misolic 6-2 6-2, Nicholas David Ionel 7-5 6-1 and Calvin Hemery 6-7(3) 6-0 2-0 ret..

In the 2^nd round, Guy had a good straight sets win against David Ionel (7-5 6-1). During the match, Den Ouden scored 69 points vs David Ionel’s 51. Den Ouden was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Den Ouden scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Guy Den Ouden lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Den Ouden put 53% of his first serves in, winning 84% (26/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Den Ouden broke David Ionel 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Dutch hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.

Den Ouden has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 66% of his matches (150-76). 10-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Den Ouden has an aggregate78-35 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.

Den Ouden’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Antalya.

Guy has a composed 11-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger

Den Ouden has never competed in this tournament before.

Luka Pavlovic

Ranked no. 346 (career-high), the French player got to the semifinal after defeating Julien De Cuyper 6-1 6-3, Adrian Oetzbach 6-3 7-5, Carlos Taberner 7-6(4) 6-2, Mathys Erhard 6-4 6-4 and Marco Cecchinato 7-6(3) 6-7(4) 6-4.

In the quarter, Luka defeated Cecchinato (7-6³ 6-7⁴ 6-4).During the match Pavlovic scored less points (1) than Cecchinato. In fact, the world no. 317 won 103 points vs Cecchinato’s. That means that Pavlovic was more focused during the important points. Luka was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.

About the serving games, Pavlovic recorded 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Luka Pavlovic was quite effective on serve to win 82% (49/60) of his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Luka broke Cecchinato twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pavlovic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The French player has an overall 9-2 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Den Ouden	Pavlovic
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	8	11
Tot Games	56	114
Pts	214-155	376-316
Total Points	369	692
Winners	78	160
%Winners	36%	43%

Den Ouden played 3 matches while Pavlovic competed in 5 matches. Pavlovic started his run from the qualifications while Den Ouden had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Guy Den Ouden conceded 1 set, while Luka Pavlovic surrendered 1 set. Den Ouden has played 3 set(s) less than Pavlovic (8 vs 11). Therefore, Den Ouden played 58 games less than Pavlovic. The Dutch scored 78 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The French player recorded 160 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Den Ouden	Pavlovic
Aces	10	53
Avg per match	3.3	10.6
1st in	106/187	189/340
%1st in	57%	56%
1st pts	78/106	160/189
%1st pts	74%	85%
2nd pts	43/81	85/151
%2nd pts	53%	56%

Den Ouden blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Pavlovic fired 53 aces (10.6 per match). Den Ouden won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Pavlovic won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Den Ouden	Pavlovic
Won	14	13
Converted	14/28	13/28
% Converted	50%	46%
Conceded	10	18
Saved	7	16
% Saved	70%	89%
Times Broken	3	2

Den Ouden broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Pavlovic conceded his serve twice and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Den Ouden
	R1 Misolic	R2 David Ionel	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	7-5 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	19	35
pts	74-54	69-51	143-105
Total points	128	120	248
Winners	27	26	53
%Winners	36%	38%	37%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	4
Double Faults	3	4	7
1st in	36/67	31/59	67/126
% 1st in	54%	53%	53%
1st pts	27/36	26/31	53/67
% 1st pts	75%	84%	79%
2nd pts	16/31	14/28	30/59
% 2nd pts	52%	50%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/12	4/9	8/21
Converted %	33%	44%	38%
Conceded	4	4	8
Saved	4/4	3/4	7
Saved %	100%	75%	88%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Pavlovic
	Q1 De	Q3 Oetzbach	R1 Taberner	R2 Erhard	1/4 Cecchinato	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-3 7-5	7-64 6-2	6-4 6-4	7-63 6-74 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	3	11
Tot Games	16	21	21	20	36	114
pts	57-29	70-56	83-71	63-56	103-104	376-316
Total points	86	126	154	119	207	692
Winners	22	36	31	22	49	160
%Winners	39%	51%	37%	35%	48%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	9	14	8	14	53
Double Faults	1	3	9	1	3	17
1st in	24/36	42/72	34/71	29/55	60/106	189/340
% 1st in	67%	58%	48%	53%	57%	56%
1st pts	22/24	36/42	31/34	22/29	49/60	160/189
% 1st pts	92%	86%	91%	76%	82%	85%
2nd pts	10/12	15/30	20/37	15/26	25/46	85/151
% 2nd pts	83%	50%	54%	58%	54%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	2	2	3	2	13
Converted	4/8	2/2	2/7	3/7	2/4	13/28
Converted %	50%	100%	29%	43%	50%	46%
Conceded	0	4	7	1	6	18
Saved	0/0	4/4	7/7	0/1	5/6	16
Saved %	–	100%	100%	0%	83%	142%
Times Broken	0	0	0	1	1	2

Tennis Scores in Kigali 2 Challenger

• Geoffrey Blancaneaux/Zdenek KolarBlancaneaux/Zdenek Kolar – Andrej Martin/Maximilian NeuchristMartin/Maximilian Neuchrist (4-6 6-2 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Luka PavlovicPavlovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Max HoukesHoukes – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-2) – H2H and prediction