Alex Michelsen and Colton Smith will play each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.35
Colton Smith -> 3.2
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Colton Smith
There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Colton Smith since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-13 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Michelsen will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Acapulco where he lost 6-4 6-3 to Shapovalov in the 2nd round on the 26th of February.
The American has an aggregate 10-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Talking about his overall career, Alex has an overall 139-77 record. He has a positive 79-40 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
Colton Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-5 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-11 | 22-7 | 0-0 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 5-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 261, Colton got to the 2nd round after beating Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4, Pavel Kotov 6-3 7-6(8) and Flavio Cobolli 3-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Cobolli, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Smith scored 87 points vs Cobolli’s 72. Colton was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Smith bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Colton Smith lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (35/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Cobolli 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he overcame Eliot Spizzirri in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.
The American has a composed 8-1 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWLLW
LLWWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- David GoffinGoffin – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Li TuTu (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-2 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-1 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (2-6 6-2 7-67) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (7-67 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Ethan QuinnQuinn (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (7-5 7-63) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 1-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Alexandre MullerMuller (4-6 7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-75 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Luca NardiNardi (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – Flavio CobolliCobolli (3-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-2 5-7 7-63) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-3 0-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Aleksandar VukicVukic (4-6 6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (2-6 6-2 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Li TuTu (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (7-6(7) 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-1 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Marcos GironGiron (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-2) – H2H and prediction
