Jan Choinski and Jurij Rodionov will play each other in the quarter of the Thionville Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan Choinski who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jan Choinski is the pick to win this match.
Jan Choinski -> 1.84
Jurij Rodionov -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Jan Choinski vs. Jurij Rodionov

This will be the 3^rd time that Jan Choinski and Jurij Rodionov fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Choinski won 2-6 6-1 6-2 in the qualifications in Rome back in 2023.

Jan Choinski

Ranked no. 184, Jan got to the quarter after defeating Philip Henning 6-4 6-3 and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Gueymard Wayenburg (6-3 6-1). During the match, Choinski scored 66 points vs Gueymard Wayenburg’s 40. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Choinski blasted 2 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jan Choinski was very effective on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 75% (9/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jan broke Gueymard Wayenburg 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Choinski has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (300-211). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Choinski has a compiled 46-36 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Jan has a compiled 3-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Thionville Challenger

The German has never competed in this tournament before.

Jurij Rodionov

Ranked no. 209, Jurij reached the quarter after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-2 6-2 and Jakub Paul 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Rodionov had a good straight sets win against Paul (6-3 6-1). During the match Rodionov scored 62 points vs Paul’s 39. The Austrian was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

About the serving games, Rodionov recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jurij Rodionov was very effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jurij broke Paul 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jurij hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

The Austrian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger.

Jurij has an overall 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Choinski	Rodionov
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	35	32
Pts	126-88	129-85
Total Points	214	214
Winners	50	49
%Winners	40%	38%

Both Choinski and Rodionov played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Choinski and Rodionov have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Choinski played 3 games more than Rodionov. The German scored 50 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jurij fired 49 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Choinski	Rodionov
Aces	11	8
Avg per match	5.5	4
1st in	63/94	61/98
%1st in	67%	62%
1st pts	50/63	49/61
%1st pts	79%	80%
2nd pts	21/31	21/37
%2nd pts	68%	57%

Choinski managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). Rodionov scored 8 aces (4 per match). Choinski won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Rodionov won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Choinski	Rodionov
Won	7	8
Converted	7/11	8/18
% Converted	64%	44%
Conceded	7	2
Saved	6	2
% Saved	86%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

Jan broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Rodionov broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Austrian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Choinski
	R1 Henning	R2 Gueymard	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	16	35
pts	60-48	66-40	126-88
Total points	108	106	214
Winners	29	21	50
%Winners	48%	32%	40%
SERVE
Aces	9	2	11
Double Faults	2	0	2
1st in	35/54	28/40	63/94
% 1st in	65%	70%	67%
1st pts	29/35	21/28	50/63
% 1st pts	83%	75%	79%
2nd pts	12/19	9/12	21/31
% 2nd pts	63%	75%	68%
Breaks
Won	2	5	7
Converted	2/4	5/7	7/11
Converted %	50%	71%	64%
Conceded	3	4	7
Saved	3/3	3/4	6
Saved %	100%	75%	88%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Rodionov
	R1 Sachko	R2 Paul	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	16	32
pts	67-46	62-39	129-85
Total points	113	101	214
Winners	27	22	49
%Winners	40%	35%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	8
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	34/53	27/45	61/98
% 1st in	64%	60%	62%
1st pts	27/34	22/27	49/61
% 1st pts	79%	81%	80%
2nd pts	10/19	11/18	21/37
% 2nd pts	53%	61%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/9	4/9	8/18
Converted %	44%	44%	44%
Conceded	1	1	2
Saved	1/1	1/1	2
Saved %	100%	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Thionville Challenger

• Kaito Uesugi/David Vega HernandezUesugi/David Vega Hernandez – Patrik Niklas-Salminen/Emil RuusuvuoriNiklas-Salminen/Emil Ruusuvuori (7-5 2-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ivan Liutarevich/Mick VeldheerLiutarevich/Mick Veldheer – Ivan Sabanov/Matej SabanovSabanov/Matej Sabanov (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Borna CoricCoric – Aziz DougazDougaz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Jurij RodionovRodionov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Liam DraxlDraxl – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur BouquierBouquier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction