Luka Pavlovic and Marco Cecchinato will face off in the quarter of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marco Cecchinato who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marco Cecchinato is the pick to win this match.
Marco Cecchinato -> 1.833
Luka Pavlovic -> 1.89

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Prediction and head to head Luka Pavlovic vs. Marco Cecchinato

There is no head to head record between Luka Pavlovic and Marco Cecchinato since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Luka Pavlovic

Ranked no. 346 (career-high), Pavlovic reached the quarter after defeating Julien De Cuyper 6-1 6-3, Adrian Oetzbach 6-3 7-5, Carlos Taberner 7-6(4) 6-2 and Mathys Erhard 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Erhard (6-4 6-4). During the match, Pavlovic scored 63 points vs Erhard’s 56. Pavlovic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pavlovic bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Luka Pavlovic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pavlovic broke Erhard 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luka started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Pavlovic has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (206-128). 8-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Pavlovic has an overall 188-104 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Luka has an aggregate 8-2 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger

Luka has never competed in this tournament before.

Marco Cecchinato

Ranked no. 380, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Ivan Gakhov 7-5 7-6(5) and Daniel Michalski 6-4 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Marco had a good straight sets win against Michalski (6-4 6-1). During the match Cecchinato scored 68 points vs Michalski’s 51. Cecchinato was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Cecchinato scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marco Cecchinato was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Michalski 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cecchinato hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Kigali 1 Challenger.

Marco has an overall 10-6 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pavlovic	Cecchinato
Match played	4	2
Tot Set	8	4
Tot Games	78	42
Pts	273-212	162-141
Total Points	485	303
Winners	111	75
%Winners	41%	46%

Pavlovic played 4 matches while Cecchinato competed in 2 matches. Pavlovic started his run from the qualifications while Cecchinato had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Pavlovic has played 4 sets more than Cecchinato (8 vs 4). Therefore, Pavlovic played 36 games more than Cecchinato. Pavlovic scored 111 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Marco made 75 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pavlovic	Cecchinato
Aces	39	3
Avg per match	9.8	1.5
1st in	129/234	102/146
%1st in	55%	70%
1st pts	111/129	75/102
%1st pts	86%	74%
2nd pts	60/105	26/44
%2nd pts	57%	59%

Pavlovic fired 39 aces (9.8 per match). Cecchinato blasted 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pavlovic won 86% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Cecchinato won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pavlovic	Cecchinato
Won	11	5
Converted	11/24	5/21
% Converted	46%	24%
Conceded	12	8
Saved	11	7
% Saved	92%	88%
Times Broken	1	1

The French player broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Pavlovic dropped his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded. Marco broke his opponents 5 times with a 24% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Pavlovic
	Q1 De	Q3 Oetzbach	R1 Taberner	R2 Erhard	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-3 7-5	7-64 6-2	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	16	21	21	20	78
pts	57-29	70-56	83-71	63-56	273-212
Total points	86	126	154	119	485
Winners	22	36	31	22	111
%Winners	39%	51%	37%	35%	41%
SERVE
Aces	8	9	14	8	39
Double Faults	1	3	9	1	14
1st in	24/36	42/72	34/71	29/55	129/234
% 1st in	67%	58%	48%	53%	55%
1st pts	22/24	36/42	31/34	22/29	111/129
% 1st pts	92%	86%	91%	76%	86%
2nd pts	10/12	15/30	20/37	15/26	60/105
% 2nd pts	83%	50%	54%	58%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	2	2	3	11
Converted	4/8	2/2	2/7	3/7	11/24
Converted %	50%	100%	29%	43%	46%
Conceded	0	4	7	1	12
Saved	0/0	4/4	7/7	0/1	11
Saved %	–	100%	100%	0%	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0	1	1

Cecchinato
	R1 Gakhov	R2 Michalski	Total
Score	7-5 7-65	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	25	17	42
pts	94-90	68-51	162-141
Total points	184	119	303
Winners	43	32	75
%Winners	46%	47%	46%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	3
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	57/83	45/63	102/146
% 1st in	69%	71%	70%
1st pts	43/57	32/45	75/102
% 1st pts	75%	71%	74%
2nd pts	14/26	12/18	26/44
% 2nd pts	54%	67%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/13	3/8	5/21
Converted %	15%	38%	24%
Conceded	2	6	8
Saved	1/2	6/6	7
Saved %	50%	100%	38%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Max HoukesHoukes – Clement TaburTabur (1-1) – H2H and prediction