Valentin Royer and Gabriele Pennaforti will square off in the quarter of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valentin Royer who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Valentin Royer is the pick to win this match.
Valentin Royer -> 1.172
Gabriele Pennaforti -> 4.5

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Valentin Royer vs. Gabriele Pennaforti

There is no head to head record between Valentin Royer and Gabriele Pennaforti since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Valentin Royer

Ranked no. 151 (career-high), the French player got to the quarter after defeating Oriol Roca Batalla 6-2 4-6 6-3 and Franco Agamenone 7-6(3) 7-6(2).

In the 2^nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Agamenone (7-6³ 7-6²). During the match, Royer scored 76 points vs Agamenone’s 67. Valentin was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Royer made 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Valentin Royer was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (42/49) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Royer has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Royer has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (221-121). 7-0 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Royer has a compiled111-50 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Kigali 1 Challenger where he overcame Andrej Martin in the final 6-1 6-2.

Royer has an aggregate 13-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger

Valentin has never competed in this tournament before.

Gabriele Pennaforti

Ranked no. 433, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Thijmen Loof 6-1 6-3, Maik Steiner 7-5 4-6 6-1, Joel Schwaerzler 6-4 6-2 and Lukas Neumayer 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Pennaforti had a good straight sets win against Neumayer (7-5 6-4). During the match Pennaforti scored 75 points vs Neumayer’s 65. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Pennaforti fired 5 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Gabriele Pennaforti lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pennaforti put 55% of his first serves in, winning 85% (33/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Pennaforti broke Neumayer 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Pennaforti’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Valencia.

Gabriele has an aggregate 14-6 win-loss record in 2025, 14-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Royer	Pennaforti
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	9
Tot Games	53	85
Pts	170-140	298-236
Total Points	310	534
Winners	80	115
%Winners	47%	39%

Royer played 2 matches while Pennaforti competed in 4 matches. Pennaforti started his run from the qualifications while Royer had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Valentin Royer conceded 1 set, while Gabriele Pennaforti dropped 1 set. Royer has played 4 set(s) less than Pennaforti (5 vs 9). Therefore, Royer played 32 games less than Pennaforti. Royer scored 80 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 115 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Royer	Pennaforti
Aces	10	14
Avg per match	5	3.5
1st in	99/158	146/263
%1st in	63%	56%
1st pts	80/99	115/146
%1st pts	81%	79%
2nd pts	38/59	60/117
%2nd pts	64%	51%

Royer fired 10 aces (5 per match). Pennaforti blasted 14 aces (3.5 per match). Royer won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Pennaforti won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Royer	Pennaforti
Won	3	17
Converted	3/7	17/33
% Converted	43%	52%
Conceded	7	21
Saved	6	15
% Saved	86%	71%
Times Broken	1	6

Valentin broke his opponents 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Royer
	R1 Roca Batalla	R2 Agamenone	Total
Score	6-2 4-6 6-3	7-63 7-62
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	27	26	53
pts	94-73	76-67	170-140
Total points	167	143	310
Winners	38	42	80
%Winners	40%	55%	47%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	10
Double Faults	4	0	4
1st in	50/86	49/72	99/158
% 1st in	58%	68%	63%
1st pts	38/50	42/49	80/99
% 1st pts	76%	86%	81%
2nd pts	22/36	16/23	38/59
% 2nd pts	61%	70%	64%
Breaks
Won	3	0	3
Converted	3/6	0/1	3/7
Converted %	50%	0%	43%
Conceded	5	2	7
Saved	4/5	2/2	6
Saved %	80%	100%	90%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Pennaforti
	Q1 Loof	Q3 Steiner	R1 Schwaerzler	R2 Neumayer	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	7-5 4-6 6-1	6-4 6-2	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	16	29	18	22	85
pts	62-43	102-86	59-42	75-65	298-236
Total points	105	188	101	140	534
Winners	25	36	21	33	115
%Winners	40%	35%	36%	44%	39%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	2	5	14
Double Faults	8	7	4	11	30
1st in	29/54	50/88	28/50	39/71	146/263
% 1st in	54%	57%	56%	55%	56%
1st pts	25/29	36/50	21/28	33/39	115/146
% 1st pts	86%	72%	75%	85%	79%
2nd pts	12/25	17/38	17/22	14/32	60/117
% 2nd pts	48%	45%	77%	44%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	7	3	3	17
Converted	4/10	7/11	3/3	3/9	17/33
Converted %	40%	64%	100%	33%	52%
Conceded	3	11	0	7	21
Saved	3/3	6/11	0/0	6/7	15
Saved %	100%	55%	–	86%	121%
Times Broken	0	5	0	1	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Max HoukesHoukes – Clement TaburTabur (1-1) – H2H and prediction