Matteo Arnaldi and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the 1^st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.46
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 2.71

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic

This will be the 2^nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Aleksandar Kovacevic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Arnaldi won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in Toronto back in 2023.

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 35, Matteo will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Acapulco where he lost 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 to Zverev in the 1^st round on the 25^th of February.

The Italian has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Arnaldi’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Talking about his overall career, The Italian has an overall 221-139 record. He has a positive 77-45 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranked no. 94, Kovacevic will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Acapulco where he lost 3-6 6-2 6-3 to Walton in the qualifications on the 23^rd of February.

The American has a composed 14-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

In terms of his career, Kovacevic has an overall 195-155 record. He has a positive 119-88 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-2 5-7 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Fabian Marozsan
  Marozsan – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Colton SmithSmith – Flavio CobolliCobolli (3-6 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tristan BoyerBoyer – Aleksandar VukicVukic (4-6 6-2 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Alexandre MullerMuller (4-6 7-5 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-3 0-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Li TuTu – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tristan BoyerBoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – (0-1) – H2H and prediction