Daniel Michalski and Marco Cecchinato will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marco Cecchinato who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marco Cecchinato is the pick to win this match.
Marco Cecchinato -> 1.6
Daniel Michalski -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Michalski vs. Marco Cecchinato
This will be the 2nd time that Daniel Michalski and Marco Cecchinato face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cecchinato (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Cecchinato won 6-1 6-2 in the 1st round in the Lisbon Challenger back in 2022.
Daniel Michalski
14 - 5win/loss
334
243
LWWWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-6 | 2-2 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 1-6 | 36-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 4-6 | 36-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 0-3 | 47-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 334, the Pole got to the 2nd round after defeating Sebastian Prechtel 6-2 6-2, Facundo Juarez 5-7 6-4 6-1 and Filip Cristian Jianu 6-2 3-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, Michalski defeated Cristian Jianu (6-2 3-6 6-2). During the match, Michalski scored 76 points vs Cristian Jianu’s 60. Michalski was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michalski bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniel Michalski was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (33/39) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Pole broke Cristian Jianu 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Michalski has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (253-148). 12-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michalski has a composed218-110 record in the last 9 years on clay.
The Pole’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya.
Daniel has an overall 14-5 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.
Marco Cecchinato
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 0-2 | 26-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-23 | 1-4 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 0-3 | 43-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-27 | 1-5 | 31-19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 380, Marco got to the 2nd round after defeating Ivan Gakhov 7-5 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Cecchinato had a good straight sets win against Gakhov (7-5 7-65). During the match Cecchinato scored 94 points vs Gakhov’s 90. Cecchinato was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Cecchinato blasted 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Marco Cecchinato was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (43/57) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Gakhov twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Kigali 1 Challenger.
Marco has a composed 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michalski | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 25 |
| Pts | 239-186 | 94-90 |
| Total Points | 425 | 184 |
| Winners | 96 | 43 |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% |
Michalski played 3 matches while Cecchinato competed in 1 match. Michalski started his run from the qualifications while Cecchinato had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Daniel Michalski surrendered 2 sets while Marco Cecchinato hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Michalski has played 6 sets more than Cecchinato (8 vs 2). Therefore, Michalski played 45 games more than Cecchinato. Daniel scored 96 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Marco scored 43 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michalski | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 2 |
| 1st in | 121/202 | 57/83 |
| %1st in | 60% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 96/121 | 43/57 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 44/81 | 14/26 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Michalski fired 14 aces (4.7 per match). Cecchinato scored 2 aces . Michalski won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Cecchinato won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michalski | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 2 |
| Converted | 13/26 | 2/13 |
| % Converted | 50% | 15% |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 |
| Saved | 8 | 1 |
| % Saved | 73% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Michalski broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Daniel lost his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Marco broke his opponent twice with a 15% conversion rate. Marco conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michalski | |||||
| Q1 Prechtel |
Q3 Juarez |
R1 Cristian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 5-7 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 29 | 25 | 70 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 100-85 | 76-60 | 239-186 | |
| Total points | 104 | 185 | 136 | 425 | |
| Winners | 25 | 38 | 33 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/48 | 52/86 | 39/68 | 121/202 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 60% | 57% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 38/52 | 33/39 | 96/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 73% | 85% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 19/34 | 16/29 | 44/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 56% | 55% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/13 | 4/5 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 80% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/8 | 1/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Cecchinato | |||||
| R1 Gakhov |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-65 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |||
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |||
| pts | 94-90 | 94-90 | |||
| Total points | 184 | 184 | |||
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |||
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |||
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |||
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |||
| 1st in | 57/83 | 57/83 | |||
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |||
| 1st pts | 43/57 | 43/57 | |||
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |||
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 14/26 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |||
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |||
| Converted | 2/13 | 2/13 | |||
| Converted % | 15% | 15% | |||
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |||
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |||
| Saved % | 50% | 17% | |||
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |||
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWWWW
LWWLWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Kigali 2 Challenger
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Clement TaburTabur – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (7-61 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Corentin DenollyDenolly (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Max HoukesMax – Alex Marti PujolrasAlex (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Max HoukesHoukes – Clement TaburTabur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
