Lukas Neumayer and Gabriele Pennaforti will face off in the 2^nd round of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lukas Neumayer who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lukas Neumayer is the pick to win this match.
Lukas Neumayer -> 1.39
Gabriele Pennaforti -> 2.81

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Prediction and head to head Lukas Neumayer vs. Gabriele Pennaforti

This will be the 2^nd time that Lukas Neumayer and Gabriele Pennaforti face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Neumayer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Neumayer won 4-6 6-2 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Kigali 1 Challenger back in February 2025.

Lukas Neumayer

Ranked no. 208, Lukas got to the 2^nd round after defeating Maxime Chazal 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Chazal (6-2 6-4). During the match, Neumayer scored 59 points vs Chazal’s 46. Lukas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Neumayer blasted 4 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Lukas Neumayer was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Austrian broke Chazal 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Neumayer has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (166-124). 4-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Neumayer has a compiled137-95 record in the last 6 years on clay.

The Austrian has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger

The Austrian has never competed in this tournament before.

Gabriele Pennaforti

Ranked no. 433, Pennaforti reached the 2^nd round after beating Thijmen Loof 6-1 6-3, Maik Steiner 7-5 4-6 6-1 and Joel Schwaerzler 6-4 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Pennaforti had a good straight sets win against Schwaerzler (6-4 6-2). During the match Pennaforti scored 59 points vs Schwaerzler’s 42. Pennaforti was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Pennaforti bagged 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Gabriele Pennaforti was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Schwaerzler 3 times.

Pennaforti’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Valencia.

Pennaforti has a composed 13-6 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Neumayer	Pennaforti
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	7
Tot Games	18	63
Pts	59-46	223-171
Total Points	105	394
Winners	33	82
%Winners	56%	37%

Neumayer played 1 match while Pennaforti competed in 3 matches. Pennaforti started his run from the qualifications while Neumayer had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Gabriele Pennaforti surrendered 1 set while Lukas Neumayer hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Neumayer has played 5 set(s) less than Pennaforti (2 vs 7). Therefore, Neumayer played 45 games less than Pennaforti. Neumayer scored 33 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 82 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Neumayer	Pennaforti
Aces	4	9
Avg per match	4	3
1st in	41/52	107/192
%1st in	79%	56%
1st pts	33/41	82/107
%1st pts	80%	77%
2nd pts	6/11	46/85
%2nd pts	55%	54%

Neumayer struck 4 aces . Pennaforti struck 9 aces (3 per match). Neumayer won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Pennaforti won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Neumayer	Pennaforti
Won	3	14
Converted	3/5	14/24
% Converted	60%	58%
Conceded	2	14
Saved	2	9
% Saved	100%	64%
Times Broken	0	5

Neumayer broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Lukas had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Pennaforti conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Neumayer
	R1 Chazal	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	59-46	59-46
Total points	105	105
Winners	33	33
%Winners	56%	56%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	41/52	41/52
% 1st in	79%	79%
1st pts	33/41	33/41
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	6/11	6/11
% 2nd pts	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/5	3/5
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Pennaforti
	Q1 Loof	Q3 Steiner	R1 Schwaerzler	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	7-5 4-6 6-1	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	16	29	18	63
pts	62-43	102-86	59-42	223-171
Total points	105	188	101	394
Winners	25	36	21	82
%Winners	40%	35%	36%	37%
SERVE
Aces	4	3	2	9
Double Faults	8	7	4	19
1st in	29/54	50/88	28/50	107/192
% 1st in	54%	57%	56%	56%
1st pts	25/29	36/50	21/28	82/107
% 1st pts	86%	72%	75%	77%
2nd pts	12/25	17/38	17/22	46/85
% 2nd pts	48%	45%	77%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	7	3	14
Converted	4/10	7/11	3/3	14/24
Converted %	40%	64%	100%	58%
Conceded	3	11	0	14
Saved	3/3	6/11	0/0	9
Saved %	100%	55%	–	155%
Times Broken	0	5	0	5

Tennis Scores in Kigali 2 Challenger

• Calvin HemeryHemery – Corentin DenollyDenolly (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Clement TaburTabur – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (7-6¹ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Max HoukesMax – Alex Marti PujolrasAlex (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mathys ErhardErhard – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Max HoukesHoukes – Clement TaburTabur (1-1) – H2H and prediction