Lukas Neumayer and Gabriele Pennaforti will face off in the 2nd round of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lukas Neumayer who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lukas Neumayer is the pick to win this match.
Lukas Neumayer -> 1.39
Gabriele Pennaforti -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Lukas Neumayer vs. Gabriele Pennaforti
This will be the 2nd time that Lukas Neumayer and Gabriele Pennaforti face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Neumayer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Neumayer won 4-6 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in the Kigali 1 Challenger back in February 2025.
Lukas Neumayer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-7 | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-32 | 2-2 | 38-29 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-32 | 2-1 | 38-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-26 | 12-4 | 41-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-25 | 8-10 | 16-14 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 208, Lukas got to the 2nd round after defeating Maxime Chazal 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Chazal (6-2 6-4). During the match, Neumayer scored 59 points vs Chazal’s 46. Lukas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Neumayer blasted 4 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Lukas Neumayer was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Austrian broke Chazal 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Neumayer has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (166-124). 4-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Neumayer has a compiled137-95 record in the last 6 years on clay.
The Austrian has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
The Austrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Gabriele Pennaforti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-27 | 0-0 | 46-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-28 | 2-3 | 47-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-26 | 12-11 | 26-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-8 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 433, Pennaforti reached the 2nd round after beating Thijmen Loof 6-1 6-3, Maik Steiner 7-5 4-6 6-1 and Joel Schwaerzler 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, Pennaforti had a good straight sets win against Schwaerzler (6-4 6-2). During the match Pennaforti scored 59 points vs Schwaerzler’s 42. Pennaforti was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Pennaforti bagged 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Gabriele Pennaforti was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Schwaerzler 3 times.
Pennaforti’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Valencia.
Pennaforti has a composed 13-6 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Neumayer | Pennaforti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 63 |
| Pts | 59-46 | 223-171 |
| Total Points | 105 | 394 |
| Winners | 33 | 82 |
| %Winners | 56% | 37% |
Neumayer played 1 match while Pennaforti competed in 3 matches. Pennaforti started his run from the qualifications while Neumayer had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Gabriele Pennaforti surrendered 1 set while Lukas Neumayer hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Neumayer has played 5 set(s) less than Pennaforti (2 vs 7). Therefore, Neumayer played 45 games less than Pennaforti. Neumayer scored 33 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 82 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Neumayer | Pennaforti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 41/52 | 107/192 |
| %1st in | 79% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 82/107 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 46/85 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 54% |
Neumayer struck 4 aces . Pennaforti struck 9 aces (3 per match). Neumayer won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Pennaforti won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Neumayer | Pennaforti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 14 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 14/24 |
| % Converted | 60% | 58% |
| Conceded | 2 | 14 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Neumayer broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Lukas had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Italian broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Pennaforti conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Neumayer | |||
| R1 Chazal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 59-46 | 59-46 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 41/52 | 41/52 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Pennaforti | |||||
| Q1 Loof |
Q3 Steiner |
R1 Schwaerzler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 4-6 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 29 | 18 | 63 | |
| pts | 62-43 | 102-86 | 59-42 | 223-171 | |
| Total points | 105 | 188 | 101 | 394 | |
| Winners | 25 | 36 | 21 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 7 | 4 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 29/54 | 50/88 | 28/50 | 107/192 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 57% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 36/50 | 21/28 | 82/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 72% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 17/38 | 17/22 | 46/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 45% | 77% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 7/11 | 3/3 | 14/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 64% | 100% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 0 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 6/11 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 55% | – | 155% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWLL
LWWWWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Kigali 2 Challenger
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Corentin DenollyDenolly (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Clement TaburTabur – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (7-61 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Max HoukesMax – Alex Marti PujolrasAlex (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Max HoukesHoukes – Clement TaburTabur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
