Katerina Siniakova and Maria Lourdes Carle will face off in the 1^st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Katerina Siniakova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Katerina Siniakova is the pick to win this match.
Katerina Siniakova -> 1.32
Maria Lourdes Carle -> 3.38

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Prediction and head to head Katerina Siniakova vs. Maria Lourdes Carle

There is no head to head record between Katerina Siniakova and Maria Lourdes Carle since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Katerina Siniakova

Ranked no. 59, the Czech will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match in Dubai where she lost 6-3 6-4 to Kostyuk in the 1^st round on the 17^th of February.

Katerina has an overall 7-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Siniakova’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Napoca.

Talking about her overall career, Katerina has an overall 377-271 record. She has a positive 159-135 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2017. See her history.

Maria Lourdes Carle

Ranked no. 103, the Argentine reached the 1^st round after beating Petra Martic 6-2 6-3 and Daria Saville 6-2 6-1.

In the qualifications, Maria had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-2 6-1). During the match Lourdes scored 59 points vs Gavrilova’s 33. Maria was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Lourdes wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Maria Lourdes Carle lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Lourdes put 77% of her first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (3/10) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Gavrilova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lourdes started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 62% of the points she played.

Maria has a compiled 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See her history.

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Dan Alexandru TomescuAlexandru Tomescu (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek Puches
  – Victor CrivoiCrivoi (5-7 5-5 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Thomas FancuttFancutt – Simon BeaupainBeaupain (6-3 5-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Ivan MikhaylyukMikhaylyuk (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Nicolae FrunzaFrunza – Bogdan BorzaBorza (4-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Cezar Cretu (ROU)Cretu (ROU) (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Justin ButschButsch – Alessandro CoppiniCoppini (6-3 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol – Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – Razvan Marius CodescuMarius Codescu (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile Manole – Vlad Victor CorneaVictor Cornea (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander IgoshinIgoshin – George BotezanBotezan (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Maxime ChazalChazal – Vlad Andrei DancuAndrei Dancu (2-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Giovanni FonioFonio – Vladislav MelnicMelnic (7-6⁶ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Calin MandaManda – Nicolo TurchettiTurchetti (7-6² 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Claire LiuLiu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maddison InglisInglis – Sofia KeninKenin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Caty McNallyMcNally (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Tatjana MariaMaria (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alycia ParksParks – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lauren DavisDavis – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Suzan LamensLamens (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Ann LiLi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Petra KvitovaKvitova – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Whitney OsuigweOsuigwe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mayar SherifSherif – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Magda LinetteLinette (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jule NiemeierNiemeier – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caroline GarciaGarcia – Bernarda PeraPera (0-3) – H2H and prediction