Alexander Bublik and Yosuke Watanuki will face off in the 1st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.57
Yosuke Watanuki -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Yosuke Watanuki
There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Yosuke Watanuki since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 82, the Kazakhstani will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Dubai where he lost 7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-3 to Auger-Aliassime in the 1st round on the 25th of February.
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 2-7 win-loss record in 2025, 0-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, The Kazakhstani has an overall 353-270 record. He has a positive 133-109 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022 and 2024. See his history.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-24 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 349, the Japanese got to the 1st round after beating Mattia Bellucci 6-1 6-2 and Rudy Quan 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Yousuke had a good straight sets win against Quan (6-3 6-2). During the match Watanuki scored 58 points vs Quan’s 36. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Watanuki made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Yosuke Watanuki was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (19/24) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Japanese broke Quan 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points he played.
Watanuki has an aggregate 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Rudy QuanQuan (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Li TuTu – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo GiganteGigante – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (6-4 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – Pavel KotovKotov (6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Cristian GarinGarin (7-60 6-2) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Li TuTu – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (6-4 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (7-6(3) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Li TuTu – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Kei NishikoriNishikori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – (0-1) – H2H and prediction