Maria Camila Osorio Serrano and Naomi Osaka will play each other in the 1st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.31
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano -> 3.45

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Prediction and head to head Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 2nd time that Maria Camila Osorio Serrano and Naomi Osaka clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Osaka won 6-3 6-3 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2022.

Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Australian Open 17-January-2022

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

4 - 3win/loss

Hard
2-2
I Hard
2-1
Rank
53
High
33
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-3 2-2 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 34-22 12-11 17-7 1-1 4-3 0-0
2023 30-20 7-10 15-7 5-1 3-2 0-0
2022 20-19 13-11 5-3 2-1 0-4 0-0
2021 35-17 14-12 16-3 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 53, Camila Osorio Serrano will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match in Singapore where she lost 6-4 6-2 to Mertens in the quarter on the 31st of January.

Maria has an aggregate 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Talking about her overall career, Maria has an overall 214-125 record. She has a positive 76-61 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.

Indian Wells
Camila Osorio Serrano's Record

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

6 - 2win/loss

Hard
6-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
56
High
1
LWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 6-2 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 22-18 13-10 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 56, Naomi will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match at the Melbourne where she lost 7-6(3) ret. to Bencic in the 3rd round on the 17th of January.

Naomi has a composed 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Osaka’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Auckland.

In terms of her career, Osaka has an overall 266-147 record. She has a positive 188-91 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, she won this tournament once in 2018. See her history.

Indian Wells
Osaka's Record

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

  • Thomas FancuttFancuttSimon BeaupainBeaupain (6-3 5-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Alexandar LazarovLazarovIvan MikhaylyukMikhaylyuk (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Nicolae FrunzaFrunzaBogdan BorzaBorza (4-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz IvorraCezar Cretu (ROU)Cretu (ROU) (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Justin ButschButschAlessandro CoppiniCoppini (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut ApostolDragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Mats RosenkranzRosenkranzRazvan Marius CodescuMarius Codescu (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile ManoleVlad Victor CorneaVictor Cornea (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Alexander IgoshinIgoshinGeorge BotezanBotezan (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De AlmeidaDan Alexandru TomescuAlexandru Tomescu (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek PuchesVictor CrivoiCrivoi (5-7 5-5 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Maxime ChazalChazalVlad Andrei DancuAndrei Dancu (2-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Giovanni FonioFonioVladislav MelnicMelnic (7-66 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Calin MandaMandaNicolo TurchettiTurchetti (7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw