Maria Camila Osorio Serrano and Naomi Osaka will play each other in the 1st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.31
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano -> 3.45
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Prediction and head to head Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs. Naomi Osaka
This will be the 2nd time that Maria Camila Osorio Serrano and Naomi Osaka clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Osaka won 6-3 6-3 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2022.
Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Australian Open 17-January-2022
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
5 - 3win/loss
55
33
LLLWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-8 | 3-4 | 6-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 12-11 | 17-7 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-20 | 7-10 | 15-7 | 5-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-19 | 13-11 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-17 | 14-12 | 16-3 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 53, Camila Osorio Serrano will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match in Singapore where she lost 6-4 6-2 to Mertens in the quarter on the 31st of January.
Maria has an aggregate 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about her overall career, Maria has an overall 214-125 record. She has a positive 76-61 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-6 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-18 | 13-10 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, Naomi will start her run in Indian Wells after she played her last match at the Melbourne where she lost 7-6(3) ret. to Bencic in the 3rd round on the 17th of January.
Naomi has a composed 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Osaka’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Auckland.
In terms of her career, Osaka has an overall 266-147 record. She has a positive 188-91 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2018. See her history.
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWWL
LWWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Thomas FancuttFancutt – Simon BeaupainBeaupain (6-3 5-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Ivan MikhaylyukMikhaylyuk (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolae FrunzaFrunza – Bogdan BorzaBorza (4-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Cezar Cretu (ROU)Cretu (ROU) (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Justin ButschButsch – Alessandro CoppiniCoppini (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol – Dragos Nicolae MadarasNicolae Madaras (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – Razvan Marius CodescuMarius Codescu (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile Manole – Vlad Victor CorneaVictor Cornea (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander IgoshinIgoshin – George BotezanBotezan (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Dan Alexandru TomescuAlexandru Tomescu (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek Puches – Victor CrivoiCrivoi (5-7 5-5 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Vlad Andrei DancuAndrei Dancu (2-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni FonioFonio – Vladislav MelnicMelnic (7-66 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Calin MandaManda – Nicolo TurchettiTurchetti (7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Sofia KeninKenin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Tatjana MariaMaria (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Suzan LamensLamens (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Ann LiLi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Magda LinetteLinette (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Bernarda PeraPera (0-3) – H2H and prediction
