Maria Lourdes Carle and Daria Saville will square off in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM 9. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Saville who should win in 3 sets.
Daria Saville -> 1.86
Maria Lourdes Carle -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Daria Saville
There is no head to head record between Maria Lourdes Carle and Daria Saville since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Maria Lourdes Carle
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-31 | 7-9 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-29 | 10-10 | 34-15 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 2-7 | 40-22 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-36 | 15-12 | 34-23 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-27 | 16-8 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103, the Argentine reached the qualifications after beating Petra Martic 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, Maria had a good straight sets win against Martic (6-2 6-3). During the match, Lourdes Carle scored 65 points vs Martic’s 44. Lourdes Carle was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Lourdes Carle scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 4 double faults. Maria Lourdes Carle lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Lourdes Carle put 78% of her first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (5/12) on the 2nd serve. Lourdes Carle broke Martic 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Lourdes Carle has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (293-161). 5-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Lourdes Carle has a compiled 89-55 record in the last years on hard.
Maria has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Daria Saville
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-17 | 9-11 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-22 | 16-9 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 12-13 | 6-8 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-20 | 20-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 109, Gavrilova got to the qualifications after defeating Jil Teichmann 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications against Belen Teichmann, Gavrilova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Gavrilova scored 92 points vs Belen Teichmann’s 87. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Gavrilova recorded 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Daria Saville lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Gavrilova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 63% (42/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Daria broke Belen Teichmann 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Daria’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Merida.
Daria has a composed 8-8 win-loss record in 2025, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lourdes Carle | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 |
| Pts | 65-44 | 92-87 |
| Total Points | 109 | 179 |
| Winners | 28 | 42 |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% |
Both Lourdes Carle and Gavrilova played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Daria Saville conceded 1 set while Maria Lourdes Carle hasn’t dropped a set so far. Lourdes Carle has played 1 set(s) less than Gavrilova (2 vs 3). Therefore, Lourdes Carle played 12 games less than Gavrilova. Lourdes Carle scored 28 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Gavrilova managed to score 42 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lourdes Carle | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 42/54 | 67/100 |
| %1st in | 78% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 28/42 | 42/67 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 5/12 | 16/33 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 48% |
Lourdes Carle managed to score 1 ace . Gavrilova also struck 3 aces . Lourdes Carle won 67% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Gavrilova won 63% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lourdes Carle | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 86% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 60% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Maria broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Lourdes Carle conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. The Australian broke her opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. The Australian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| Lourdes Carle | |||
| Q1 Martic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 65-44 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/54 | 42/54 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 28/42 | 28/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Gavrilova | |||
| Q1 Belen Teichmann | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 92-87 | 92-87 | |
| Total points | 179 | 179 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 67/100 | 67/100 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 42/67 | 42/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Vlad Victor CorneaVictor Cornea – Mihnea Lorin Stefan TurcuLorin Stefan Turcu (5-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victor CrivoiCrivoi – Teodor-Dacian CraciunCraciun (6-4 0-6 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Simon BeaupainBeaupain – John Harrison RichmondHarrison Richmond (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Cosmin OnticaOntica (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- George BotezanBotezan – Petru-Alexandru LuncanuLuncanu (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kimberly BirrellBirrell – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Eva LysLys – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaja JuvanJuvan – Whitney OsuigweOsuigwe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Claire LiuLiu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Mirjam BjorklundBjorklund – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maddison InglisInglis – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daria GavrilovaGavrilova – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Sofia KeninKenin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Tatjana MariaMaria (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Suzan LamensLamens (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Ann LiLi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Magda LinetteLinette (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Lulu SunSun (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Renata ZarazuaZarazua – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Bernarda PeraPera (0-3) – H2H and prediction