
Sara Sorribes Tormo and Claire Liu will face off in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 10:00 am on STADIUM 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sara Sorribes Tormo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sara Sorribes Tormo is the pick to win this match.
Sara Sorribes Tormo -> 1.59
Claire Liu -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Sara Sorribes Tormo vs. Claire Liu
This will be the 3rd time that Sara Sorribes Tormo and Claire Liu face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sorribes Tormo (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sorribes Tormo won 7-6(4) 2-6 7-6(5) in the 1st round in Toronto back in 2022.
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 11-8 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 23-28 | 14-15 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 29-17 | 10-6 | 17-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 24-18 | 9-10 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 31-20 | 24-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91, the Spaniard reached the qualifications after beating Nao Hibino 7-5 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Hibino (7-5 6-1). During the match, Sorribes Tormo scored 74 points vs Hibino’s 59. Sara was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sorribes Tormo couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 4 double faults. Sara Sorribes Tormo lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sorribes Tormo put 72% of her first serves in, winning 66% (35/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (6/21) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Hibino 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Sorribes Tormo has good match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (279-218). 3-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sorribes Tormo has a composed 113-104 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Sorribes Tormo has an aggregate 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Claire Liu
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 10-10 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 18-12 | 11-7 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 27-29 | 19-19 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 29-22 | 15-14 | 12-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 39-17 | 17-11 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, Claire reached the qualifications after defeating Yuliia Starodubtseva 7-5 7-6(2).
In the qualifications, Liu had a good straight sets win against Starodubtseva (7-5 7-62). During the match Liu scored 85 points vs Starodubtseva’s 75. Liu was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Liu blasted 2 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Claire Liu lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Liu put 53% of her first serves in, winning 57% (26/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (23/40) on the 2nd serve. Claire broke Starodubtseva 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Claire has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sorribes Tormo | Liu |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 19 | 25 |
Pts | 74-59 | 85-75 |
Total Points | 133 | 160 |
Winners | 35 | 26 |
%Winners | 47% | 31% |
Both Sorribes Tormo and Liu played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sorribes Tormo and Liu have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sorribes Tormo played 6 games less than Liu. The Spaniard scored 35 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 26 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sorribes Tormo | Liu |
---|---|---|
Aces | 0 | 2 |
Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
1st in | 53/74 | 46/86 |
%1st in | 72% | 53% |
1st pts | 35/53 | 26/46 |
%1st pts | 66% | 57% |
2nd pts | 6/21 | 23/40 |
%2nd pts | 29% | 58% |
Sorribes Tormo didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Liu scored 2 aces . Sorribes Tormo won 66% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 29% of the points. On the other side, Liu won 57% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sorribes Tormo | Liu |
---|---|---|
Won | 6 | 6 |
Converted | 6/12 | 6/10 |
% Converted | 50% | 60% |
Conceded | 11 | 9 |
Saved | 8 | 4 |
% Saved | 73% | 44% |
Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The Spaniard broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sorribes Tormo dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. Liu broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Claire conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.
Sorribes Tormo | |||
Q1 Hibino |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
pts | 74-59 | 74-59 | |
Total points | 133 | 133 | |
Winners | 35 | 35 | |
%Winners | 47% | 47% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 0 | 0 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
1st in | 53/74 | 53/74 | |
% 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
1st pts | 35/53 | 35/53 | |
% 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
2nd pts | 6/21 | 6/21 | |
% 2nd pts | 29% | 29% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 6 | 6 | |
Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Liu | |||
Q1 Starodubtseva |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-5 7-62 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
pts | 85-75 | 85-75 | |
Total points | 160 | 160 | |
Winners | 26 | 26 | |
%Winners | 31% | 31% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 2 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
1st in | 46/86 | 46/86 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
1st pts | 26/46 | 26/46 | |
% 1st pts | 57% | 57% | |
2nd pts | 23/40 | 23/40 | |
% 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 6 | 6 | |
Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
Saved | 4/9 | 4 | |
Saved % | 44% | 44% | |
Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
Head 2 Head



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