Pavel Kotov and Colton Smith will clash against each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 6. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Colton Smith who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Colton Smith is the pick to win this match.
Colton Smith -> 1.81
Pavel Kotov -> 1.92

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Colton Smith

There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Colton Smith since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Pavel Kotov

Ranked no. 102, Pavel reached the qualifications after beating Chak Lam Coleman Wong 7-6(5) 5-7 6-1.

In the qualifications, Kotov defeated Lam Coleman Wong (7-6⁵ 5-7 6-1). During the match, Kotov scored 102 points vs Lam Coleman Wong’s 94. Kotov was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kotov scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (48/67) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Kotov broke Lam Coleman Wong 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Kotov has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (276-191). 4-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kotov has a composed 62-51 record in the last years on hard.

Kotov has an aggregate 4-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Colton Smith

Ranked no. 261, Colton reached the qualifications after beating Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications, Smith had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-3 6-4). During the match Smith scored 68 points vs Fognini’s 50. Smith was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Smith fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Colton Smith was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (29/41) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Smith broke Fognini 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he beat Eliot Spizzirri in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.

Colton has an aggregate 6-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kotov	Smith
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	32	19
Pts	102-94	68-50
Total Points	196	118
Winners	48	29
%Winners	47%	43%

Both Kotov and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Pavel Kotov surrendered 1 set while Colton Smith hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kotov has played 1 set more than Smith (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kotov played 13 games more than Smith. Kotov scored 48 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Colton fired 29 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kotov	Smith
Aces	1	4
Avg per match	1	4
1st in	67/100	41/56
%1st in	67%	73%
1st pts	48/67	29/41
%1st pts	72%	71%
2nd pts	17/33	9/15
%2nd pts	52%	60%

Kotov fired 1 ace . Smith also bagged 4 aces . Kotov won 72% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kotov	Smith
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/8
% Converted	80%	50%
Conceded	6	4
Saved	3	2
% Saved	50%	50%
Times Broken	3	2

Kotov broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Pavel dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Smith broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Kotov
	Q1 Lam Coleman Wong	Total
Score	7-65 5-7 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	102-94	102-94
Total points	196	196
Winners	48	48
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	67/100	67/100
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	48/67	48/67
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	17/33	17/33
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/5
Converted %	80%	80%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	3/6	3
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	3	3

Smith
	Q1 Fognini	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	68-50	68-50
Total points	118	118
Winners	29	29
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	41/56	41/56
% 1st in	73%	73%
1st pts	29/41	29/41
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	9/15	9/15
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	2/4	2
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• David GoffinGoffin – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• James DuckworthDuckworth – Li TuTu (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Radu AlbotAlbot (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christian GarinGarin – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Kei NishikoriNishikori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo GastonGaston – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – Michael MmohMmoh (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan BoyerBoyer – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – (1-0) – H2H and prediction