Hugo Gaston and Eliot Spizzirri will play each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Eliot Spizzirri who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Eliot Spizzirri is the pick to win this match.
Eliot Spizzirri -> 1.46
Hugo Gaston -> 2.56

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Eliot Spizzirri

There is no head to head record between Hugo Gaston and Eliot Spizzirri since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Hugo Gaston

Ranked no. 93, Hugo reached the qualifications after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-2 6-4.

In the qualifications, Hugo had a good straight sets win against Kent Trotter (6-2 6-4). During the match, Gaston scored 61 points vs Kent Trotter’s 39. Gaston was very aggressive to blast 18 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaston scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hugo Gaston was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (18/21) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Kent Trotter 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Gaston has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (243-189). 2-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gaston has a composed 41-41 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The French player has an overall 2-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Eliot Spizzirri

Ranked no. 144 (career-high), Eliot got to the qualifications after defeating Lloyd Harris 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Eliot had a good straight sets win against Lloyd (6-4 6-3). During the match Spizzirri scored 70 points vs Lloyd’s 59. Eliot was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Spizzirri scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Eliot Spizzirri lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Spizzirri put 76% of his first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 28% (5/18) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Lloyd 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the San Diego Challenger where he overcame Mackenzie Mcdonald in the final 6-4 2-6 6-4.

The American has a composed 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Eliot has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaston	Spizzirri
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	19
Pts	61-39	70-59
Total Points	100	129
Winners	18	38
%Winners	30%	54%

Both Gaston and Spizzirri played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gaston and Spizzirri have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gaston played 1 game less than Spizzirri. Gaston scored 18 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Spizzirri made 38 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaston	Spizzirri
Aces	1	1
Avg per match	1	1
1st in	21/45	57/75
%1st in	47%	76%
1st pts	18/21	38/57
%1st pts	86%	67%
2nd pts	16/24	5/18
%2nd pts	67%	28%

Gaston managed to score 1 ace . Spizzirri also recorded 1 ace . Gaston won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Spizzirri won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 28% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaston	Spizzirri
Won	4	5
Converted	4/6	5/8
% Converted	67%	63%
Conceded	2	9
Saved	1	6
% Saved	50%	67%
Times Broken	1	3

Hugo broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Gaston conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
	Q1 Kent	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	61-39	61-39
Total points	100	100
Winners	18	18
%Winners	30%	30%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	21/45	21/45
% 1st in	47%	47%
1st pts	18/21	18/21
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	16/24	16/24
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Spizzirri
	Q1 Lloyd	Total
Score	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	70-59	70-59
Total points	129	129
Winners	38	38
%Winners	54%	54%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	57/75	57/75
% 1st in	76%	76%
1st pts	38/57	38/57
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	5/18	5/18
% 2nd pts	28%	28%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/8	5/8
Converted %	63%	63%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	6/9	6
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	3	3

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