Gabriel Diallo and Ethan Quinn will clash against each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:30 am on STADIUM 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.44
Ethan Quinn -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Ethan Quinn
This will be the 2nd time that Gabriel Diallo and Ethan Quinn fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Diallo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Diallo won 6-3 7-6(6) in the 2nd round in the Lexington Challenger back in 2024.
Gabriel Diallo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 88, the Canadian reached the qualifications after defeating Hady Habib 6-3 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Gabriel had a good straight sets win against Habib (6-3 7-65). During the match, Diallo scored 80 points vs Habib’s 68. Diallo was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Diallo fired 9 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Gabriel Diallo was very efficient on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Habib twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Diallo has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (141-81). 7-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Diallo has an overall77-40 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Diallo has a compiled 8-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Ethan Quinn
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-9 | 16-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-34 | 17-18 | 2-7 | 13-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-16 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-14 | 21-7 | 6-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 137 (career-high), Quinn reached the qualifications after defeating Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.
In the qualifications, Ethan defeated Schoolkate (6-4 6-76 6-3). During the match Quinn scored 108 points vs Schoolkate’s 92. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Quinn bagged 16 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ethan Quinn lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Quinn put 66% of his first serves in, winning 76% (47/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Quinn broke Schoolkate 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Canberra Challenger.
Ethan has a composed 16-7 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Diallo | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 |
| Pts | 80-68 | 108-92 |
| Total Points | 148 | 200 |
| Winners | 36 | 47 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Diallo and Quinn played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Ethan Quinn dropped 1 set while Gabriel Diallo hasn’t dropped a set so far. Diallo has played 1 set(s) less than Quinn (2 vs 3). Therefore, Diallo played 10 games less than Quinn. Diallo scored 36 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Ethan struck 47 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Diallo | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 16 |
| 1st in | 45/79 | 62/94 |
| %1st in | 57% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 47/62 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 16/32 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 50% |
Diallo fired 9 aces . Quinn struck 16 aces . Diallo won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Quinn won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Diallo | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 29% | 63% |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 83% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Gabriel broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Canadian dropped his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Quinn conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Diallo | |||
| Q1 Habib |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 80-68 | 80-68 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/79 | 45/79 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 36/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 18/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Quinn | |||
| Q1 Schoolkate |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-76 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 108-92 | 108-92 | |
| Total points | 200 | 200 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 62/94 | 62/94 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 47/62 | 47/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWLWLW
LWWLWWLWWW 
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