Taylor Townsend and Varvara Lepchenko will square off in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 10:00 am on STADIUM 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Townsend who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Townsend is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Townsend -> 1.52
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Townsend vs. Varvara Lepchenko
There is no head to head record between Taylor Townsend and Varvara Lepchenko since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Taylor Townsend
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-20 | 21-13 | 2-4 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-16 | 16-9 | 12-4 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-8 | 14-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Yanina Wickmayer 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Townsend had a good straight sets win against Wickmayer (6-2 6-1). During the match, Townsend scored 59 points vs Wickmayer’s 32. Townsend was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Townsend recorded 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Taylor Townsend was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (25/29) of her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Wickmayer 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Townsend has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (224-127). 1-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Townsend has a composed 130-78 record in the last years on hard.
The American has an overall 1-5 win-loss record in 2025, 1-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Varvara Lepchenko
6 - 4win/loss
120
19
LLWWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-6 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-37 | 22-15 | 26-17 | 6-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-12 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 124, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Anca Alexia Todoni 7-6(3) 6-3.
In the qualifications, Varvara had a good straight sets win against Alexia Todoni (7-63 6-3). During the match Lepchenko scored 74 points vs Alexia Todoni’s 65. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Lepchenko recorded 2 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Varvara Lepchenko lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Lepchenko put 61% of her first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the 2nd serve. Varvara was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Alexia Todoni 3 times.
Lepchenko has an aggregate 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2014 and 2015. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Townsend | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 |
| Pts | 59-32 | 74-65 |
| Total Points | 91 | 139 |
| Winners | 25 | 26 |
| %Winners | 42% | 35% |
Both Townsend and Lepchenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Townsend and Lepchenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Townsend played 7 games less than Lepchenko. The American scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara managed to score 26 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Townsend | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 29/44 | 44/72 |
| %1st in | 66% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 26/44 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 17/28 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 61% |
Townsend struck 4 aces . Lepchenko fired 2 aces . Townsend won 86% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 59% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Townsend | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/3 |
| % Converted | 40% | 100% |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Varvara broke her opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Varvara conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Townsend | |||
| Q1 Wickmayer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 59-32 | 59-32 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/44 | 29/44 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 25/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Lepchenko | |||
| Q1 Alexia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 74-65 | 74-65 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 44/72 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/44 | 26/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 17/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLLLL
LLWWLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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- Simon BeaupainBeaupain – John Harrison RichmondHarrison Richmond (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Cosmin OnticaOntica (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- George BotezanBotezan – Petru-Alexandru LuncanuLuncanu (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Eva LysLys – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaja JuvanJuvan – Whitney OsuigweOsuigwe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Claire LiuLiu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Mirjam BjorklundBjorklund – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maddison InglisInglis – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Sloane StephensStephens – Sofia KeninKenin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Suzan LamensLamens (1-0) – H2H and prediction
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