Calvin Hemery and Corentin Denolly will face off in the 2nd round of the Kigali 2 Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:30 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Calvin Hemery who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Calvin Hemery is the pick to win this match.
Calvin Hemery -> 1.35
Corentin Denolly -> 2.99
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Calvin Hemery vs. Corentin Denolly
This will be the 5th time that Calvin Hemery and Corentin Denolly fight against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Hemery (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Hemery won 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(3) in the quarter in the Blois Challenger back in 2024.
Calvin Hemery
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-9 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-33 | 1-3 | 27-19 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-25 | 8-2 | 28-14 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-29 | 6-6 | 19-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 8-6 | 20-8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 175, Calvin reached the 2nd round after defeating Yanki Erel 6-3 7-6(4).
In the 1st round, Hemery had a good straight sets win against Erel (6-3 7-64). During the match, Hemery scored 77 points vs Erel’s 67. Calvin was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Hemery scored 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Calvin Hemery was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Erel twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Hemery has good match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (302-214). 4-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Hemery has a compiled 154-101 match record in the last years on clay.
Hemery’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Brazzaville Challenger.
The French player has a compiled 8-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
Corentin Denolly
5 - 7win/loss
327
289
LWLLLLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 55-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 0-0 | 32-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 2-4 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 330, Corentin reached the 2nd round after defeating Eliakim Coulibaly 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round, Corentin had a good straight sets win against Coulibaly (6-4 6-1). During the match Denolly scored 57 points vs Coulibaly’s 38. Denolly was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Denolly scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Corentin Denolly was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (23/32) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Corentin was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Coulibaly 4 times.
Denolly has a compiled 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hemery | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 |
| Pts | 77-67 | 57-38 |
| Total Points | 144 | 95 |
| Winners | 30 | 23 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Both Hemery and Denolly played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Hemery and Denolly have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Hemery played 5 games more than Denolly. Hemery scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Denolly fired 23 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hemery | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 1 |
| 1st in | 38/74 | 32/55 |
| %1st in | 51% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 23/32 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 21/36 | 13/23 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 57% |
Hemery struck 12 aces . Denolly made 1 ace . Hemery won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Denolly won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hemery | Denolly |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 29% | 100% |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Saved | 6 | 3 |
| % Saved | 86% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Hemery broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Calvin dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hemery | |||
| R1 Erel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 77-67 | 77-67 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/74 | 38/74 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 30/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/36 | 21/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Denolly | |||
| R1 Coulibaly |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 57-38 | 57-38 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/55 | 32/55 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 23/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWWLL
LWLLLLWLWL Tennis Scores in Kigali 2 Challenger
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Carlos TabernerTaberner (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Clement TaburTabur – Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti – Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel – Bernard TomicTomic (6-4 7-69) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Ivan GakhovGakhov (7-5 7-65) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Andrej MartinMartin (7-66 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Yanki ErelErel (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Maxime ChazalChazal (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Max HoukesHoukes – Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-5 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Filip MisolicMisolic (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Clement TaburTabur – Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
- Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Andrej MartinMartin (7-6(6) 6-7(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti – Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Maxime ChazalChazal (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Ivan GakhovGakhov (7-5 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Carlos TabernerTaberner (7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel – Bernard TomicTomic (6-4 7-6(9)) – See score progression
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Yanki ErelErel (6-3 7-6(4)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Corentin DenollyDenolly – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Clement TaburTabur – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras – Max HoukesHoukes (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-1) – H2H and prediction
