Mackenzie Mcdonald and Eliot Spizzirri will clash against each other in the final of the San Diego Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.35
Eliot Spizzirri -> 2.99
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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Eliot Spizzirri
There is no head to head record between Mackenzie Mcdonald and Eliot Spizzirri since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-11 | 10-6 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, Mcdonald reached the final after beating Karue Sell 6-3 6-3, Matteo Gigante 6-3 7-5, Trevor Svajda 6-3 6-4 and Kamil Majchrzak 3-6 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal against Majchrzak, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-1). During the match, Mcdonald scored 83 points vs Majchrzak’s 67. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mcdonald struck 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mcdonald put 65% of his first serves in, winning 74% (32/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Majchrzak 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mcdonald has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Mcdonald has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (280-220). 7-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Mcdonald has a compiled 173-118 match record in the last years on hard.
Mackenzie’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger and the San Diego Challenger.
Mcdonald has a composed 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Diego Challenger
Mackenzie has never competed in this tournament before.
Eliot Spizzirri
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-11 | 10-7 | 6-3 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-17 | 28-11 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 189 (career-high), the American reached the final after beating Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-3 6-1, Andres Martin 1-6 6-1 6-4, Taro Daniel 6-7(2) 6-0 6-4 and Ethan Quinn 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Spizzirri defeated Quinn (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Spizzirri scored 106 points vs Quinn’s 93. Spizzirri was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Spizzirri recorded 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Eliot Spizzirri lost the serve 3 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Spizzirri put 66% of his first serves in, winning 66% (48/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. Eliot broke Quinn 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Eliot has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Spizzirri’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Cleveland Challenger.
Spizzirri has a composed 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mcdonald | Spizzirri |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 97 |
| Pts | 299-240 | 349-285 |
| Total Points | 539 | 634 |
| Winners | 112 | 145 |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% |
Both Mcdonald and Spizzirri played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mackenzie Mcdonald surrendered 1 set, while Eliot Spizzirri conceded 3 sets. Mcdonald has played 2 set(s) less than Spizzirri (9 vs 11). Therefore, Mcdonald played 16 games less than Spizzirri. The American scored 112 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Spizzirri blasted 145 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mcdonald | Spizzirri |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 156/258 | 203/304 |
| %1st in | 60% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 112/156 | 145/203 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 48/102 | 55/101 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 54% |
Mcdonald bagged 22 aces (5.5 per match). Spizzirri scored 15 aces (3.8 per match). Mcdonald won 72% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Spizzirri won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mcdonald | Spizzirri |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 18 |
| Converted | 21/48 | 18/41 |
| % Converted | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded | 32 | 27 |
| Saved | 24 | 20 |
| % Saved | 75% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 7 |
The American broke his opponents 21 times with a 44% conversion rate. Mackenzie dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Spizzirri broke his opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mcdonald | ||||||
| R1 Sell |
R2 Gigante |
1/4 Svajda |
1/2 Majchrzak |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 81 | |
| pts | 60-41 | 80-66 | 76-66 | 83-67 | 299-240 | |
| Total points | 101 | 146 | 142 | 150 | 539 | |
| Winners | 22 | 31 | 27 | 32 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% | 36% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 44/71 | 41/73 | 43/66 | 156/258 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 62% | 56% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 31/44 | 27/41 | 32/43 | 112/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 70% | 66% | 74% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 14/27 | 15/32 | 9/23 | 48/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 52% | 47% | 39% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/12 | 5/12 | 6/15 | 21/48 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 32 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 8/10 | 11/13 | 2/4 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 85% | 50% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Spizzirri | ||||||
| R1 Alejandro |
R2 Martin |
1/4 Daniel |
1/2 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 1-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-72 6-0 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 97 | |
| pts | 59-35 | 81-73 | 103-84 | 106-93 | 349-285 | |
| Total points | 94 | 154 | 187 | 199 | 634 | |
| Winners | 23 | 32 | 42 | 48 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 41% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 50/67 | 54/83 | 73/111 | 203/304 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 75% | 65% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 32/50 | 42/54 | 48/73 | 145/203 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 64% | 78% | 66% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 11/17 | 15/29 | 19/38 | 55/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 65% | 52% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/15 | 5/13 | 5/8 | 18/41 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 27% | 38% | 63% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 15/18 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 40% | 67% | 83% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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