Raphael Collignon and Borna Coric will face off in the final of the Lugano Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Borna Coric who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Borna Coric is the pick to win this match.
Borna Coric -> 1.71
Raphael Collignon -> 2.04

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Prediction and head to head Raphael Collignon vs. Borna Coric

This will be the 2^nd time that Raphael Collignon and Borna Coric face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Collignon (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Collignon won 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in the quarter in the Lyon Challenger back in 2024.

Raphael Collignon

Ranked no. 98 (career-high), the Belgian reached the final after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-4 7-5, Viktor Durasovic 6-4 7-5, Liam Draxl 6-4 6-4 and Murphy Cassone 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, Collignon defeated Cassone (7-6³ 4-6 6-3). During the match, Collignon scored 106 points vs Cassone’s 97. Raphael was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about the service games, Collignon scored 6 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Raphael Collignon was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (47/59) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Collignon broke Cassone twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belgian has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Collignon has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (185-91). 9-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Collignon has a compiled47-30 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he beat Patrick Zahraj in the final 6-2 6-4.

Raphael has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Borna Coric

Ranked no. 143, the Croatian reached the final after beating Gauthier Onclin 6-4 6-2, Antoine Escoffier 6-4 6-4, Henri Squire 6-2 6-2 and Dino Prizmic 6-2 6-4.

In the semifinal, Coric had a good straight sets win against Prizmic (6-2 6-4). During the match Coric scored 66 points vs Prizmic’s 50. Coric was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Coric managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Borna Coric conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Coric put 67% of his first serves in, winning 83% (33/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Coric broke Prizmic 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Croatian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Borna’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Lugano Challenger.

Coric has an overall 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Collignon	Coric
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	8
Tot Games	96	72
Pts	325-292	250-180
Total Points	617	430
Winners	157	108
%Winners	48%	43%

Both Collignon and Coric played 4 matches. At the moment, Raphael Collignon lost 1 set while Borna Coric hasn’t dropped a set so far. Collignon has played 1 set more than Coric (9 vs 8). Therefore, Collignon played 24 games more than Coric. Raphael scored 157 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian struck 108 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Collignon	Coric
Aces	18	39
Avg per match	4.5	9.8
1st in	207/301	134/206
%1st in	69%	65%
1st pts	157/207	108/134
%1st pts	76%	81%
2nd pts	48/94	47/72
%2nd pts	51%	65%

Collignon managed to score 18 aces (4.5 per match). Coric struck 39 aces (9.8 per match). Collignon won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Coric won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Collignon	Coric
Won	10	12
Converted	10/32	12/28
% Converted	31%	43%
Conceded	14	10
Saved	10	10
% Saved	71%	100%
Times Broken	4	0

Collignon broke his opponents 10 times with a 31% conversion rate. Collignon lost his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Croatian broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Borna was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 10 break points.

Collignon
	R1 Sachko	R2 Durasovic	1/4 Draxl	1/2 Cassone	Total
Score	6-4 7-5	6-4 7-5	6-4 6-4	7-63 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	22	22	20	32	96
pts	75-70	66-54	78-71	106-97	325-292
Total points	145	120	149	203	617
Winners	35	35	40	47	157
%Winners	47%	53%	51%	44%	48%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	4	6	18
Double Faults	5	1	2	9	17
1st in	50/78	43/57	55/72	59/94	207/301
% 1st in	64%	75%	76%	63%	69%
1st pts	35/50	35/43	40/55	47/59	157/207
% 1st pts	70%	81%	73%	80%	76%
2nd pts	14/28	6/14	8/17	20/35	48/94
% 2nd pts	50%	43%	47%	57%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	3	2	2	10
Converted	3/7	3/7	2/6	2/12	10/32
Converted %	43%	43%	33%	17%	31%
Conceded	6	1	4	3	14
Saved	5/6	0/1	4/4	1/3	10
Saved %	83%	0%	100%	33%	54%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2	4

Coric
	R1 Onclin	R2 Escoffier	1/4 Squire	1/2 Prizmic	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-4	6-2 6-2	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	18	20	16	18	72
pts	54-41	69-54	61-35	66-50	250-180
Total points	95	123	96	116	430
Winners	25	26	24	33	108
%Winners	46%	38%	39%	50%	43%
SERVE
Aces	9	8	12	10	39
Double Faults	1	0	0	1	2
1st in	31/47	34/56	29/43	40/60	134/206
% 1st in	66%	61%	67%	67%	65%
1st pts	25/31	26/34	24/29	33/40	108/134
% 1st pts	81%	76%	83%	83%	81%
2nd pts	12/16	16/22	10/14	9/20	47/72
% 2nd pts	75%	73%	71%	45%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	3	12
Converted	3/5	2/6	4/10	3/7	12/28
Converted %	60%	33%	40%	43%	43%
Conceded	3	1	2	4	10
Saved	3/3	1/1	2/2	4/4	10
Saved %	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0	0

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