Daria Saville and Emiliana Arango will face off in the semifinal of the Merida Open Akron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:30 pm on AKRON STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Saville who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Saville is the pick to win this match.
Daria Saville -> 1.65
Emiliana Arango -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Daria Saville vs. Emiliana Arango

There is no head to head record between Daria Saville and Emiliana Arango since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Daria Saville

Daria Saville

7 - 8win/loss

Hard
7-7
I Hard
0-1
Rank
164
High
20
LLLWWWLWLL
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-17 9-11 4-4 0-1 0-1 0-0
2024 29-22 16-9 8-8 1-1 4-4 0-0
2023 12-13 6-8 5-2 0-1 1-2 0-0
2022 25-20 20-12 2-4 0-0 3-4 0-0
2021 3-2 2-2 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 121, Daria got to the semifinal after beating Ellen Perez 7-6(5) 6-1, Varvara Lepchenko 6-2 6-1, Marta Kostyuk 6-4 7-6(6), Anhelina Kalinina 4-6 6-2 6-2 and Paula Badosa 1-6 5-3 ret..

In the quarter against Badosa, the Australian had a free pass after Badosa retired on a 1-6 5-3 . scoreline.

Gavrilova has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (183-157). 7-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gavrilova has an overall 104-80 record in the last years on hard.

The Australian has an aggregate 7-7 win-loss record in 2025, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Merida

Daria has never competed in this tournament before.

Merida
Gavrilova's Record

Emiliana Arango

Emiliana Arango

14 - 3win/loss

Hard
12-2
I Hard
2-1
Rank
48
High
46
LWLLLLWLWL
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-28 23-16 4-7 2-1 0-4 0-0
2024 23-34 7-12 14-16 2-3 0-3 0-0
2023 48-27 10-8 28-13 2-2 8-4 0-0
2022 12-20 7-7 5-12 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 38-20 19-9 19-10 0-1 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 133, Arango reached the semifinal after defeating Katarzyna Kawa 7-5 6-2, Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 6-3, Francesca Jones 3-6 6-3 3-4 ret. and Rebecca Sramkova 5-7 6-3 6-0.

In the quarter against Sramkova, Emiliana recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-0). During the match Arango scored 96 points vs Sramkova’s 77. Arango was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Arango scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Emiliana Arango lost the serve 6 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Arango put 62% of her first serves in, winning 60% (37/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Arango broke Sramkova 9 times after converting 69% of her break points (9/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Colombian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the Cancun where she beat Carson Branstine in the final 6-2 6-1.

Emiliana has an overall 13-3 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Merida
Arango's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Gavrilova
E.Arango
8h:58
8h:58
Time on court​
10h:58
10h:58
1h:14
1h:14
Last match​
1h:56
1h:56
5
5
Match played
5
5
99
99
Games Played​
117
117
12
12
Set played​​
14
14
347
347
Total points​
461
461
69.4
69.4
Avg point​
92.2
92.2
131
131
Winners
165
165
26.2
26.2
Avg Winners​
33
33
38%
38%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
3
3
1.2
1.2
Avg Aces
0.6
0.6
27
27
Double Faults
14
14
!
5.4
5.4
Avg Double Faults
2.8
2.8
131/210
131/210
1st won total​
165/282
165/282
62%
62%
1st won %
59%
59%
53/114
53/114
2nd won total​
58/136
58/136
46%
46%
2nd won %
43%
43%
-- Break Points --
26/47
26/47
BP won
43/56
43/56
5.2/9.4
5.2/9.4
Avg BP won
8.6/11.2
8.6/11.2
!
55%
55%
Won
!
77%
77%
36
36
Conceded
56
56
7.2
7.2
Avg Conceded
11.2
11.2
17
17
Broken
31
31
3.4
3.4
Avg Broken
!
6.2
6.2
19
19
Saved
25
25
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gavrilova Arango
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 12 14
Tot Games 99 117
Pts 347-296 461-370
Total Points 643 831
Winners 131 165
%Winners 38% 36%

Both Gavrilova and Arango played 5 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Saville lost 2 sets, while Emiliana Arango lost 4 sets. Gavrilova has played 2 set(s) less than Arango (12 vs 14). Therefore, Gavrilova played 18 games less than Arango. Daria scored 131 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Colombian struck 165 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gavrilova Arango
Aces 6 3
Avg per match 1.2 0.6
1st in 210/324 282/418
%1st in 65% 67%
1st pts 131/210 165/282
%1st pts 62% 59%
2nd pts 53/114 58/136
%2nd pts 46% 43%

Gavrilova blasted 6 aces (1.2 per match). Arango struck 3 aces (0.6 per match). Gavrilova won 62% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Arango won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gavrilova Arango
Won 26 43
Converted 26/47 43/56
% Converted 55% 77%
Conceded 36 56
Saved 19 25
% Saved 53% 45%
Times Broken 17 31

Daria broke her opponents 26 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Australian lost her serve 17 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded. Arango broke her opponents 43 times with a 77% conversion rate. The Colombian conceded her serve 31 times and she saved 45% of the break points that she conceded.

Gavrilova
Q1
Perez		 Q3
Lepchenko		 R1
Kostyuk		 R2
Kalinina		 1/4
Badosa		 Total
Score 7-65 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-4 7-66 4-6 6-2 6-2 1-6 5-3 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 2 11
Tot Games 20 15 23 26 15 99
pts 81-64 58-31 83-77 88-75 37-49 347-296
Total points 145 89 160 163 86 643
Winners 31 24 29 36 11 131
%Winners 38% 41% 35% 41% 30% 38%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 0 2 0 6
Double Faults 8 1 4 9 5 27
1st in 42/77 33/47 55/77 55/84 25/39 210/324
% 1st in 55% 70% 71% 65% 64% 65%
1st pts 31/42 24/33 29/55 36/55 11/25 131/210
% 1st pts 74% 73% 53% 65% 44% 62%
2nd pts 13/35 8/14 13/22 13/29 6/14 53/114
% 2nd pts 37% 57% 59% 45% 43% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 5 6 7 3 26
Converted 5/12 5/9 6/10 7/10 3/6 26/47
Converted % 42% 56% 60% 70% 50% 55%
Conceded 10 4 10 5 7 36
Saved 7/10 3/4 5/10 1/5 3/7 19
Saved % 70% 75% 50% 20% 43% 52%
Times Broken 3 1 5 4 4 17
Arango
Q1
Kawa		 Q3
Lourdes		 R1
Lourdes		 R2
Jones		 1/4
Sramkova		 Total
Score 7-5 6-2 6-2 5-7 6-2 6-2 6-3 3-6 6-3 3-4 ret. 5-7 6-3 6-0
Tot Set 2 3 2 3 3 13
Tot Games 20 28 17 25 27 117
pts 75-55 104-80 104-80 82-78 96-77 461-370
Total points 130 184 184 160 173 831
Winners 26 38 38 26 37 165
%Winners 35% 37% 37% 32% 39% 36%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 0 2 1 3
Double Faults 0 3 3 5 3 14
1st in 43/57 65/92 65/92 47/77 62/100 282/418
% 1st in 75% 71% 71% 61% 62% 67%
1st pts 26/43 38/65 38/65 26/47 37/62 165/282
% 1st pts 60% 58% 58% 55% 60% 59%
2nd pts 9/14 9/27 9/27 15/30 16/38 58/136
% 2nd pts 64% 33% 33% 50% 42% 43%
Breaks
Won 6 11 11 6 9 43
Converted 6/12 11/12 11/12 6/7 9/13 43/56
Converted % 50% 92% 92% 86% 69% 77%
Conceded 5 11 11 11 18 56
Saved 2/5 3/11 3/11 5/11 12/18 25
Saved % 40% 27% 27% 45% 67% 41%
Times Broken 3 8 8 6 6 31

Tennis Scores in Merida

Upcoming matches in the draw

Gavrilova
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Arango

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