Emma Navarro and Elina Avanesyan will face off in the semifinal of the Merida Open Akron for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on AKRON STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emma Navarro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emma Navarro is the pick to win this match.
Emma Navarro -> 1.49
Elina Avanesyan -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Emma Navarro vs. Elina Avanesyan
This will be the 2nd time that Emma Navarro and Elina Avanesyan square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Navarro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Navarro won 6-1 6-2 in the 2nd round in Auckland back in 2024.
Emma Navarro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-13 | 11-7 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-24 | 33-14 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Petra Martic 6-1 6-2 and Zeynep Sonmez 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, Navarro had a good straight sets win against Sonmez (6-4 6-2). During the match, Navarro scored 59 points vs Sonmez’s 44. Emma was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Navarro couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Emma Navarro lost the serve 4 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 73% of her first serves in, winning 56% (20/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (5/13) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Sonmez 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 61% of the points she played.
Navarro has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of her matches (211-116). 8-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Navarro has an aggregate79-55 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Navarro has an aggregate 8-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Emma has never competed in this tournament before.
Elina Avanesyan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-12 | 10-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-24 | 12-13 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-24 | 7-12 | 20-9 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-26 | 11-7 | 25-17 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 0-0 | 48-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, the Armenian reached the semifinal after defeating Magdalena Frech 4-6 6-3 6-3, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-1 6-4 and Maya Joint 4-6 6-2 6-0.
In the quarter against Joint, Avanesyan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-0). During the match Avanesyan scored 90 points vs Joint’s 69. Avanesyan was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Avanesyan scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Elina Avanesyan lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Avanesyan put 78% of her first serves in, winning 58% (38/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (6/18) on the 2nd serve. Avanesyan broke Joint 9 times after converting 64% of her break points (9/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Armenian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Avanesyan’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Hobart.
The Armenian has a compiled 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navarro | Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 69 |
| Pts | 115-72 | 248-204 |
| Total Points | 187 | 452 |
| Winners | 46 | 105 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Navarro played 2 matches while Avanesyan competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Elina Avanesyan surrendered 2 sets while Emma Navarro hasn’t lost a set so far. Navarro has played 4 set(s) less than Avanesyan (4 vs 8). Therefore, Navarro played 36 games less than Avanesyan. The American scored 46 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Avanesyan made 105 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navarro | Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 68/98 | 167/241 |
| %1st in | 69% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 46/68 | 105/167 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 33/74 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 45% |
Navarro didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Avanesyan bagged 5 aces (1.7 per match). Navarro won 68% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Avanesyan won 63% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navarro | Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 19 |
| Converted | 11/15 | 19/30 |
| % Converted | 73% | 63% |
| Conceded | 7 | 25 |
| Saved | 3 | 15 |
| % Saved | 43% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 10 |
Emma broke her opponents 11 times with a 73% conversion rate. Emma conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. The Armenian broke her opponents 19 times with a 63% conversion rate. Avanesyan conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Navarro | ||||
| R2 Martic |
1/4 Sonmez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 33 | |
| pts | 56-28 | 59-44 | 115-72 | |
| Total points | 84 | 103 | 187 | |
| Winners | 26 | 20 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 34% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 32/49 | 36/49 | 68/98 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 73% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 20/36 | 46/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 56% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 5/13 | 15/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 38% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 7/10 | 11/15 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 70% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 20% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Avanesyan | |||||
| R1 Frech |
R2 Bouzas |
1/4 Joint |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | 4-6 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 24 | 69 | |
| pts | 93-86 | 65-49 | 90-69 | 248-204 | |
| Total points | 179 | 114 | 159 | 452 | |
| Winners | 36 | 31 | 38 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 48% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 57/97 | 45/61 | 65/83 | 167/241 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 74% | 78% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 36/57 | 31/45 | 38/65 | 105/167 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 69% | 58% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 8/16 | 6/18 | 33/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 33% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/8 | 9/14 | 19/30 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 64% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 3 | 9 | 25 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 2/3 | 4/9 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 67% | 44% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLWLWL
LLLLWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Merida
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Federico GaioGaio (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi – Andrej MartinMartin (6-73 6-1 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emiliana ArangoArango – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
