Jessica Pegula and Ajla Tomljanovic will play each other in the semifinal of the ATX Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.165
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 5.15

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ajla Tomljanovic

This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Ajla Tomljanovic square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Pegula and Tomljanovic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the R in Australia back in 2024.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Ajla Tomljanovic – Australia 01-January-2024

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

12 - 4win/loss

Hard
12-4
I Hard
0-0
Rank
4
High
3
WWWWWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-4 13-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 4, Pegula got to the semifinal after beating Arantxa Rus 6-3 3-2 ret., Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-1 6-3 and Anna Blinkova 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Blinkova (6-2 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 59 points vs Blinkova’s 34. Pegula was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula struck 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was very effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Blinkova 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 62% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (315-161). 11-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an overall 215-94 record in the last years on hard.

The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Adelaide.

Jessica has a composed 11-4 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Austin

Jessica has never competed in this tournament before.

Austin
Pegula's Record

Ajla Tomljanovic

Ajla Tomljanovic

4 - 4win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
0-1
Rank
94
High
32
LWLWWWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 5-5 5-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 22-20 12-12 2-4 0-1 8-3 0-0
2023 7-3 2-2 5-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 38-27 19-14 7-6 5-4 7-3 0-0
2021 30-24 11-12 10-6 3-3 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 111, Ajla got to the semifinal after defeating Katie Volynets 7-6(3) 7-5, Jodie Anna Burrage 4-6 6-3 6-0 and Ena Shibahara 7-5 3-6 7-6(8).

In the quarter, The Australian defeated Shibahara (7-5 3-6 7-68). During the match Tomljanovic scored 109 points vs Shibahara’s 107. Tomljanovic was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about serving, Tomljanovic blasted 2 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Overall, Ajla Tomljanovic was quite effective on serve to win 72% (46/64) of her 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. Ajla broke Shibahara 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Ajla has an aggregate 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Austin
Tomljanovic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
A.Tomljanovic
3h:00
3h:00
Time on court​
!
6h:39
6h:39
!
0h:58
0h:58
Last match​
!
2h:33
2h:33
3
3
Match played
3
3
46
46
Games Played​
84
84
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
170
170
Total points​
303
303
56.7
56.7
Avg point​
101
101
59
59
Winners
128
128
19.7
19.7
Avg Winners​
42.7
42.7
35%
35%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
15
15
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
5
5
8
8
Double Faults
25
25
2.7
2.7
Avg Double Faults
!
8.3
8.3
59/74
59/74
1st won total​
128/187
128/187
!
80%
80%
1st won %
68%
68%
34/59
34/59
2nd won total​
48/100
48/100
58%
58%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
12/19
12/19
BP won
14/32
14/32
4/6.3
4/6.3
Avg BP won
4.7/10.7
4.7/10.7
!
63%
63%
Won
44%
44%
6
6
Conceded
31
31
2
2
Avg Conceded
10.3
10.3
2
2
Broken
10
10
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
3.3
3.3
4
4
Saved
21
21

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Tomljanovic
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 8
Tot Games 46 84
Pts 170-111 303-277
Total Points 281 580
Winners 59 128
%Winners 35% 42%

Both Pegula and Tomljanovic played 3 matches. At the moment, Ajla Tomljanovic surrendered 2 sets while Jessica Pegula hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set(s) less than Tomljanovic (7 vs 8). Therefore, Pegula played 38 games less than Tomljanovic. Jessica scored 59 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian fired 128 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Tomljanovic
Aces 10 15
Avg per match 3.3 5
1st in 74/133 187/287
%1st in 56% 65%
1st pts 59/74 128/187
%1st pts 80% 68%
2nd pts 34/59 48/100
%2nd pts 58% 48%

Pegula bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Tomljanovic struck 15 aces (5 per match). Pegula won 80% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Tomljanovic
Won 12 14
Converted 12/19 14/32
% Converted 63% 44%
Conceded 6 31
Saved 4 21
% Saved 67% 68%
Times Broken 2 10

The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Jessica lost her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Ajla broke her opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Tomljanovic conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R1
Rus
R2
Parrizas-Diaz
1/4
Blinkova
Total
Score 6-3 3-2 ret. 6-1 6-3 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 14 16 16 46
pts 50-38 61-39 59-34 170-111
Total points 88 100 93 281
Winners 21 18 20 59
%Winners 42% 30% 34% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 4 3 10
Double Faults 3 1 4 8
1st in 28/46 20/41 26/46 74/133
% 1st in 61% 49% 57% 56%
1st pts 21/28 18/20 20/26 59/74
% 1st pts 75% 90% 77% 80%
2nd pts 9/18 14/21 11/20 34/59
% 2nd pts 50% 67% 55% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 4 5 12
Converted 3/5 4/7 5/7 12/19
Converted % 60% 57% 71% 63%
Conceded 5 0 1 6
Saved 4/5 0/0 0/1 4
Saved % 80% 0% 27%
Times Broken 1 0 1 2
Tomljanovic
R1
Volynets
R2
Anna
1/4
Shibahara
Total
Score 7-63 7-5 4-6 6-3 6-0 7-5 3-6 7-68
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 25 25 34 84
pts 103-95 91-75 109-107 303-277
Total points 198 166 216 580
Winners 40 42 46 128
%Winners 39% 46% 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 12 2 15
Double Faults 9 5 11 25
1st in 65/92 58/86 64/109 187/287
% 1st in 71% 67% 59% 65%
1st pts 40/65 42/58 46/64 128/187
% 1st pts 62% 72% 72% 68%
2nd pts 8/27 16/28 24/45 48/100
% 2nd pts 30% 57% 53% 48%
Breaks
Won 7 4 3 14
Converted 7/18 4/7 3/7 14/32
Converted % 39% 57% 43% 44%
Conceded 15 10 6 31
Saved 9/15 9/10 3/6 21
Saved % 60% 90% 50% 67%
Times Broken 6 1 3 10

Tennis Scores in Austin

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