Jessica Pegula and Ajla Tomljanovic will play each other in the semifinal of the ATX Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.165
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 5.15
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Ajla Tomljanovic square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Pegula and Tomljanovic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the R in Australia back in 2024.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Ajla Tomljanovic – Australia 01-January-2024
Jessica Pegula
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 13-4 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Pegula got to the semifinal after beating Arantxa Rus 6-3 3-2 ret., Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-1 6-3 and Anna Blinkova 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Blinkova (6-2 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 59 points vs Blinkova’s 34. Pegula was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula struck 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was very effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Blinkova 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 62% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (315-161). 11-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an overall 215-94 record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Jessica has a composed 11-4 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Austin
Jessica has never competed in this tournament before.
Ajla Tomljanovic
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 5-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 22-20 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 38-27 | 19-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 30-24 | 11-12 | 10-6 | 3-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 111, Ajla got to the semifinal after defeating Katie Volynets 7-6(3) 7-5, Jodie Anna Burrage 4-6 6-3 6-0 and Ena Shibahara 7-5 3-6 7-6(8).
In the quarter, The Australian defeated Shibahara (7-5 3-6 7-68). During the match Tomljanovic scored 109 points vs Shibahara’s 107. Tomljanovic was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomljanovic blasted 2 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Overall, Ajla Tomljanovic was quite effective on serve to win 72% (46/64) of her 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. Ajla broke Shibahara 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Ajla has an aggregate 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Pegula | Tomljanovic |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 3 |
Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
Tot Games | 46 | 84 |
Pts | 170-111 | 303-277 |
Total Points | 281 | 580 |
Winners | 59 | 128 |
%Winners | 35% | 42% |
Both Pegula and Tomljanovic played 3 matches. At the moment, Ajla Tomljanovic surrendered 2 sets while Jessica Pegula hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set(s) less than Tomljanovic (7 vs 8). Therefore, Pegula played 38 games less than Tomljanovic. Jessica scored 59 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian fired 128 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Pegula | Tomljanovic |
---|---|---|
Aces | 10 | 15 |
Avg per match | 3.3 | 5 |
1st in | 74/133 | 187/287 |
%1st in | 56% | 65% |
1st pts | 59/74 | 128/187 |
%1st pts | 80% | 68% |
2nd pts | 34/59 | 48/100 |
%2nd pts | 58% | 48% |
Pegula bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Tomljanovic struck 15 aces (5 per match). Pegula won 80% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Pegula | Tomljanovic |
---|---|---|
Won | 12 | 14 |
Converted | 12/19 | 14/32 |
% Converted | 63% | 44% |
Conceded | 6 | 31 |
Saved | 4 | 21 |
% Saved | 67% | 68% |
Times Broken | 2 | 10 |
The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Jessica lost her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Ajla broke her opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Tomljanovic conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
Pegula | |||||
R1 Rus | R2 Parrizas-Diaz | 1/4 Blinkova | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 3-2 ret. | 6-1 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 14 | 16 | 16 | 46 | |
pts | 50-38 | 61-39 | 59-34 | 170-111 | |
Total points | 88 | 100 | 93 | 281 | |
Winners | 21 | 18 | 20 | 59 | |
%Winners | 42% | 30% | 34% | 35% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
1st in | 28/46 | 20/41 | 26/46 | 74/133 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 49% | 57% | 56% | |
1st pts | 21/28 | 18/20 | 20/26 | 59/74 | |
% 1st pts | 75% | 90% | 77% | 80% | |
2nd pts | 9/18 | 14/21 | 11/20 | 34/59 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 55% | 58% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
Converted | 3/5 | 4/7 | 5/7 | 12/19 | |
Converted % | 60% | 57% | 71% | 63% | |
Conceded | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 4 | |
Saved % | 80% | – | 0% | 27% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Tomljanovic | |||||
R1 Volynets | R2 Anna | 1/4 Shibahara | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-63 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | 7-5 3-6 7-68 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
Tot Games | 25 | 25 | 34 | 84 | |
pts | 103-95 | 91-75 | 109-107 | 303-277 | |
Total points | 198 | 166 | 216 | 580 | |
Winners | 40 | 42 | 46 | 128 | |
%Winners | 39% | 46% | 42% | 42% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 1 | 12 | 2 | 15 | |
Double Faults | 9 | 5 | 11 | 25 | |
1st in | 65/92 | 58/86 | 64/109 | 187/287 | |
% 1st in | 71% | 67% | 59% | 65% | |
1st pts | 40/65 | 42/58 | 46/64 | 128/187 | |
% 1st pts | 62% | 72% | 72% | 68% | |
2nd pts | 8/27 | 16/28 | 24/45 | 48/100 | |
% 2nd pts | 30% | 57% | 53% | 48% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
Converted | 7/18 | 4/7 | 3/7 | 14/32 | |
Converted % | 39% | 57% | 43% | 44% | |
Conceded | 15 | 10 | 6 | 31 | |
Saved | 9/15 | 9/10 | 3/6 | 21 | |
Saved % | 60% | 90% | 50% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
Tennis Scores in Austin
- Matija PecoticPecotic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Sebastian GomezSebastian Gomez (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction