Raphael Collignon and Murphy Cassone will face off in the semifinal of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Raphael Collignon who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Raphael Collignon is the pick to win this match.
Raphael Collignon -> 1.63
Murphy Cassone -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Raphael Collignon vs. Murphy Cassone
There is no head to head record between Raphael Collignon and Murphy Cassone since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Raphael Collignon
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-8 | 0-2 | 8-3 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 72-23 | 5-3 | 46-8 | 21-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 15-16 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-22 | 14-4 | 38-12 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-20 | 11-11 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 98 (career-high), the Belgian reached the semifinal after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-4 7-5, Viktor Durasovic 6-4 7-5 and Liam Draxl 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Draxl (6-4 6-4). During the match, Collignon scored 78 points vs Draxl’s 71. The Belgian was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Collignon managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Raphael Collignon conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Collignon put 76% of his first serves in, winning 73% (40/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Collignon broke Draxl twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Collignon has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (184-91). 8-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Collignon has a compiled46-30 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he beat Patrick Zahraj in the final 6-2 6-4.
The Belgian has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Murphy Cassone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-11 | 9-6 | 2-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-9 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 248 (career-high), the American reached the semifinal after defeating Johan Nikles 7-5 6-3, Alexey Vatutin w/o, Ricardas Berankis 6-1 6-2, Hugo Grenier 7-6(7) 7-6(6) and Luca Van Assche 7-6(2) 0-6 7-6(4).
In the quarter, Murphy defeated Van Assche (7-62 0-6 7-64).During the match Cassone scored less points (17) than Van Assche. In fact, the world no. 98 won 88 points vs Van Assche’s. That means that Cassone was more focused during the important points. Murphy was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
About the serving games, Cassone made 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Murphy Cassone lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Cassone put 74% of his first serves in, winning 67% (51/76) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Van Assche once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Murphy started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Murphy’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger and the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger.
The American has an overall 16-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Collignon | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 94 |
| Pts | 219-195 | 302-286 |
| Total Points | 414 | 588 |
| Winners | 110 | 163 |
| %Winners | 50% | 54% |
Collignon played 3 matches while Cassone competed in 4 matches. Cassone started his run from the qualifications while Collignon had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Murphy Cassone conceded 1 set while Raphael Collignon hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Collignon has played 3 set(s) less than Cassone (6 vs 9). Therefore, Collignon played 30 games less than Cassone. Raphael scored 110 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 163 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Collignon | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 148/207 | 227/312 |
| %1st in | 71% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 110/148 | 163/227 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 28/59 | 44/85 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 52% |
Collignon managed to score 12 aces (4 per match). Cassone scored 29 aces (7.3 per match). Collignon won 74% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Cassone won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Collignon | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 40% | 47% |
| Conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Saved | 9 | 10 |
| % Saved | 82% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
The Belgian broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Raphael surrendered his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Murphy broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Murphy conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Collignon | |||||
| R1 Sachko |
R2 Durasovic |
1/4 Draxl |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 20 | 64 | |
| pts | 75-70 | 66-54 | 78-71 | 219-195 | |
| Total points | 145 | 120 | 149 | 414 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | 40 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 53% | 51% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/78 | 43/57 | 55/72 | 148/207 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 75% | 76% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | 35/43 | 40/55 | 110/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 81% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 6/14 | 8/17 | 28/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 43% | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | 2/6 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/1 | 4/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 0% | 100% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cassone | |||||||
| Q1 Nikles |
Q3 Vatutin |
R1 Berankis |
R2 Grenier |
1/4 Van |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | w/o | 6-1 6-2 | 7-67 7-66 | 7-62 0-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | – | 15 | 26 | 32 | 94 | |
| pts | 75-60 | – | 53-30 | 86-91 | 88-105 | 302-286 | |
| Total points | 135 | – | 83 | 177 | 193 | 588 | |
| Winners | 32 | – | 25 | 55 | 51 | 163 | |
| %Winners | 43% | – | 47% | 64% | 58% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | – | 4 | 11 | 10 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 44/64 | – | 31/42 | 76/103 | 76/103 | 227/312 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | – | 74% | 74% | 74% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | – | 25/31 | 55/76 | 51/76 | 163/227 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | – | 81% | 72% | 67% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | – | 8/11 | 13/27 | 11/27 | 44/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | – | 73% | 48% | 41% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | – | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | – | 4/7 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 38% | – | 57% | 33% | 100% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | – | 0 | 7 | 5 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | – | 0/0 | 6/7 | 1/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | – | 86% | 20% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
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