Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the final of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.75
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.08

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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 10th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger-Aliassime square off. The head to head is 6-3 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Tsitsipas won 6-3 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2023.

Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Paris 01-November-2023

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas

7 - 4win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
2-1
Rank
18
High
3
LWWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-8 9-5 4-2 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 45-22 13-11 22-6 8-3 2-2 0-0
2023 51-24 19-9 17-5 11-6 4-4 0-0
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 11, Stefanos got to the final after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 7-6(4) 6-3, Karen Khachanov 7-6(4) 2-6 6-4, Matteo Berrettini 7-6(5) 1-6 6-4 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-4 6-4). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 63 points vs Griekspoor’s 52. Stefanos was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tsitsipas fired 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 91% (29/32) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Greek broke Griekspoor twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tsitsipas has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 51% of the points he played.

Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (464-211). 5-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tsitsipas has an overall 163-85 match record in the last years on hard.

The Greek’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.

Stefanos has an aggregate 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dubai

Dubai
Tsitsipas's Record

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime

16 - 4win/loss

Hard
12-3
I Hard
4-1
Rank
19
High
6
LLLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-9 13-6 0-2 4-1 0-0 0-0
2024 32-25 6-10 17-8 9-5 0-2 0-0
2023 23-19 13-13 1-3 9-2 0-1 0-0
2022 60-27 14-9 11-7 31-7 4-4 0-0
2021 38-24 19-10 4-6 5-5 10-3 0-0

Ranked no. 21, Auger-Aliassime got to the final after defeating Alexander Bublik 7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-3, Nuno Borges 4-6 6-3 7-5, Marin Cilic 6-4 3-6 6-2 and Quentin Halys 5-7 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal against Halys, Felix recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 97 points vs Halys’s 93. Felix was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime fired 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 65% of his first serves in, winning 74% (49/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Halys 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he overcame Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

Auger-Aliassime has a compiled 16-4 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Dubai
Auger-Aliassime's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Tsitsipas
F.Auger-Aliassime
7h:25
7h:25
Time on court​
9h:40
9h:40
1h:23
1h:23
Last match​
!
2h:16
2h:16
4
4
Match played
4
4
103
103
Games Played​
124
124
10
10
Set played​​
12
12
315
315
Total points​
405
405
78.8
78.8
Avg point​
101.3
101.3
157
157
Winners
204
204
39.3
39.3
Avg Winners​
51
51
50%
50%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
24
24
Aces
40
40
6
6
Avg Aces
10
10
12
12
Double Faults
13
13
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3.3
3.3
157/190
157/190
1st won total​
204/267
204/267
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
56/103
56/103
2nd won total​
57/118
57/118
54%
54%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
7/23
7/23
BP won
13/44
13/44
1.8/5.8
1.8/5.8
Avg BP won
3.3/11
3.3/11
30%
30%
Won
30%
30%
17
17
Conceded
29
29
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
7.3
7.3
6
6
Broken
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
11
11
Saved
23
23

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tsitsipas Auger-Aliassime
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 12
Tot Games 103 124
Pts 315-298 405-374
Total Points 613 779
Winners 157 204
%Winners 50% 50%

Both Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost 2 sets, while Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 4 sets. Tsitsipas has played 2 set(s) less than Auger-Aliassime (10 vs 12). Therefore, Tsitsipas played 21 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Tsitsipas scored 157 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian managed to score 204 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tsitsipas Auger-Aliassime
Aces 24 40
Avg per match 6 10
1st in 190/293 267/385
%1st in 65% 69%
1st pts 157/190 204/267
%1st pts 83% 76%
2nd pts 56/103 57/118
%2nd pts 54% 48%

Tsitsipas struck 24 aces (6 per match). Auger-Aliassime recorded 40 aces (10 per match). Tsitsipas won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tsitsipas Auger-Aliassime
Won 7 13
Converted 7/23 13/44
% Converted 30% 30%
Conceded 17 29
Saved 11 23
% Saved 65% 79%
Times Broken 6 6

The Greek broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 13 times with a 30% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.

Tsitsipas
R1
Sonego
R2
Khachanov
1/4
Berrettini
1/2
Griekspoor
Total
Score 7-64 6-3 7-64 2-6 6-4 7-65 1-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 3 2 10
Tot Games 22 31 30 20 103
pts 72-55 103-104 77-87 63-52 315-298
Total points 127 207 164 115 613
Winners 34 49 45 29 157
%Winners 47% 48% 58% 46% 50%
SERVE
Aces 3 7 7 7 24
Double Faults 1 7 2 2 12
1st in 42/60 61/99 55/84 32/50 190/293
% 1st in 70% 62% 65% 64% 65%
1st pts 34/42 49/61 45/55 29/32 157/190
% 1st pts 81% 80% 82% 91% 83%
2nd pts 13/18 17/38 15/29 11/18 56/103
% 2nd pts 72% 45% 52% 61% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 2 1 2 7
Converted 2/6 2/9 1/4 2/4 7/23
Converted % 33% 22% 25% 50% 30%
Conceded 2 9 6 0 17
Saved 1/2 6/9 4/6 0/0 11
Saved % 50% 67% 67% 46%
Times Broken 1 3 2 0 6
Auger-Aliassime
R1
Bublik
R2
Borges
1/4
Cilic
1/2
Halys
Total
Score 7-67 6-74 6-3 4-6 6-3 7-5 6-4 3-6 6-2 5-7 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 35 31 27 31 124
pts 126-113 99-87 83-81 97-93 405-374
Total points 239 186 164 190 779
Winners 62 52 41 49 204
%Winners 49% 53% 49% 51% 50%
SERVE
Aces 8 9 13 10 40
Double Faults 5 1 2 5 13
1st in 81/113 67/92 53/79 66/101 267/385
% 1st in 72% 73% 67% 65% 69%
1st pts 62/81 52/67 41/53 49/66 204/267
% 1st pts 77% 78% 77% 74% 76%
2nd pts 17/32 12/25 13/26 15/35 57/118
% 2nd pts 53% 48% 50% 43% 48%
Breaks
Won 3 3 3 4 13
Converted 3/17 3/10 3/10 4/7 13/44
Converted % 18% 30% 30% 57% 30%
Conceded 7 6 7 9 29
Saved 6/7 4/6 6/7 7/9 23
Saved % 86% 67% 86% 78% 79%
Times Broken 1 2 1 2 6

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasFelix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3) – H2H and prediction