Rebecca Sramkova and Emiliana Arango will fight against each other in the quarter of the Merida Open Akron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on AKRON STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rebecca Sramkova who should win in 2 sets.
Rebecca Sramkova -> 1.28
Emiliana Arango -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Rebecca Sramkova vs. Emiliana Arango
There is no head to head record between Rebecca Sramkova and Emiliana Arango since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Rebecca Sramkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-30 | 14-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-23 | 23-11 | 14-9 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-25 | 10-7 | 22-9 | 11-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-23 | 3-5 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-22 | 7-7 | 13-9 | 8-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40 (career-high), the Slovakian reached the quarter after beating Lulu Sun 6-3 6-1 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 7-6(8) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Rebecca had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (7-68 6-3). During the match, Sramkova scored 88 points vs Haddad Maia’s 81. The Slovakian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sramkova bagged 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Rebecca Sramkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sramkova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Rebecca broke Haddad Maia 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Slovakian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Sramkova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (290-189). 5-6 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sramkova has an aggregate 71-58 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Rebecca has a composed 6-7 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Sramkova has never competed in this tournament before.
Emiliana Arango
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-28 | 23-16 | 4-7 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-34 | 7-12 | 14-16 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-27 | 10-8 | 28-13 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-20 | 7-7 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 19-9 | 19-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Arango reached the quarter after beating Katarzyna Kawa 7-5 6-2, Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 6-3 and Francesca Jones 3-6 6-3 3-4 ret..
In the 2nd round against Jones, Emiliana had a free pass after Jones retired on a 3-6 6-3 3-4 . scoreline.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Cancun where she beat Carson Branstine in the final 6-2 6-1.
Arango has an overall 12-3 win-loss record in 2025, 10-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sramkova | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 90 |
| Pts | 151-120 | 365-293 |
| Total Points | 271 | 658 |
| Winners | 52 | 128 |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% |
Sramkova played 2 matches while Arango competed in 4 matches. Arango started her run from the qualifications while Sramkova had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Emiliana Arango lost 3 sets while Rebecca Sramkova hasn’t lost a set so far. Sramkova has played 7 set(s) less than Arango (4 vs 11). Therefore, Sramkova played 52 games less than Arango. Sramkova scored 52 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Emiliana bagged 128 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sramkova | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 76/121 | 220/318 |
| %1st in | 63% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 52/76 | 128/220 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 25/45 | 42/98 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 43% |
Sramkova fired 14 aces (7 per match). Arango fired 2 aces (0.5 per match). Sramkova won 68% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Arango won 58% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sramkova | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 34 |
| Converted | 10/20 | 34/43 |
| % Converted | 50% | 79% |
| Conceded | 7 | 38 |
| Saved | 3 | 13 |
| % Saved | 43% | 34% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 25 |
The Slovakian broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Slovakian lost her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Arango broke her opponents 34 times with a 79% conversion rate. Emiliana conceded her serve 25 times and she saved 34% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sramkova | ||||
| R1 Sun | R2 Haddad Maia | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 7-68 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 38 | |
| pts | 63-39 | 88-81 | 151-120 | |
| Total points | 102 | 169 | 271 | |
| Winners | 20 | 32 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 48/72 | 76/121 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 20/28 | 32/48 | 52/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 67% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 11/24 | 25/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 46% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/11 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 45% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Arango | ||||||
| Q1 Kawa | Q3 Lourdes | R1 Lourdes | R2 Jones | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 6-3 3-4 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 28 | 17 | 25 | 90 | |
| pts | 75-55 | 104-80 | 104-80 | 82-78 | 365-293 | |
| Total points | 130 | 184 | 184 | 160 | 658 | |
| Winners | 26 | 38 | 38 | 26 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 37% | 37% | 32% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 43/57 | 65/92 | 65/92 | 47/77 | 220/318 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 71% | 71% | 61% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 26/43 | 38/65 | 38/65 | 26/47 | 128/220 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 58% | 58% | 55% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/27 | 9/27 | 15/30 | 42/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 34 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 11/12 | 11/12 | 6/7 | 34/43 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 92% | 92% | 86% | 79% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 38 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/11 | 3/11 | 5/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 27% | 27% | 45% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 25 | |
Tennis Scores in Merida
- Anna Danilina/Irina KhromachevaDanilina/Irina Khromacheva – Maryna Kolb/Nadiya KolbKolb/Nadiya Kolb (6-2 3-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (5-7 6-3 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrej MartinMartin – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Jan SatralSatral (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico GaioGaio – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emiliana ArangoArango – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daria GavrilovaGavrilova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction