Raphael Collignon and Liam Draxl will clash against each other in the quarter of the Lugano Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.85
Raphael Collignon -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Raphael Collignon vs. Liam Draxl

There is no head to head record between Raphael Collignon and Liam Draxl since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Raphael Collignon

Ranked no. 98 (career-high), the Belgian reached the quarter after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-4 7-5 and Viktor Durasovic 6-4 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Collignon had a good straight sets win against Durasovic (6-4 7-5). During the match, Collignon scored 66 points vs Durasovic’s 54. The Belgian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Collignon bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Raphael Collignon lost the serve once. Furthermore, Collignon put 75% of his first serves in, winning 81% (35/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Durasovic 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belgian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Collignon has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (183-91). 7-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Collignon has an aggregate45-30 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he overcame Patrick Zahraj in the final 6-2 6-4.

The Belgian has an overall 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Liam Draxl

Ranked no. 176 (career-high), Liam reached the quarter after beating Rei Sakamoto 6-4 6-4 and Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 7-6(2).

In the 2^nd round, Draxl had a good straight sets win against Ruusuvuori (6-4 7-6²). During the match Draxl scored 72 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 65. The Canadian was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Draxl made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Liam Draxl was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Ruusuvuori twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Canadian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger and the Oeiras 3 Challenger.

The Canadian has an overall 13-5 win-loss record in 2025, 13-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Collignon	Draxl
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	44	43
Pts	141-124	142-126
Total Points	265	268
Winners	70	58
%Winners	50%	41%

Both Collignon and Draxl played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Collignon and Draxl have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Collignon played 1 game more than Draxl. The Belgian scored 70 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian managed to score 58 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Collignon	Draxl
Aces	8	4
Avg per match	4	2
1st in	93/135	80/122
%1st in	69%	66%
1st pts	70/93	58/80
%1st pts	75%	73%
2nd pts	20/42	26/42
%2nd pts	48%	62%

Collignon fired 8 aces (4 per match). Draxl scored 4 aces (2 per match). Collignon won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Draxl won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Collignon	Draxl
Won	6	5
Converted	6/14	5/17
% Converted	43%	29%
Conceded	7	6
Saved	5	4
% Saved	71%	67%
Times Broken	2	2

The Belgian broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Collignon lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Draxl broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Draxl conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Collignon
	R1 Sachko	R2 Durasovic	Total
Score	6-4 7-5	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	22	44
pts	75-70	66-54	141-124
Total points	145	120	265
Winners	35	35	70
%Winners	47%	53%	50%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	8
Double Faults	5	1	6
1st in	50/78	43/57	93/135
% 1st in	64%	75%	69%
1st pts	35/50	35/43	70/93
% 1st pts	70%	81%	75%
2nd pts	14/28	6/14	20/42
% 2nd pts	50%	43%	48%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/7	3/7	6/14
Converted %	43%	43%	43%
Conceded	6	1	7
Saved	5/6	0/1	5
Saved %	83%	0%	42%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Draxl
	R1 Sakamoto	R2 Ruusuvuori	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-4 7-62
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	20	23	43
pts	70-61	72-65	142-126
Total points	131	137	268
Winners	27	31	58
%Winners	39%	43%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	3	4
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	38/60	42/62	80/122
% 1st in	63%	68%	66%
1st pts	27/38	31/42	58/80
% 1st pts	71%	74%	73%
2nd pts	13/22	13/20	26/42
% 2nd pts	59%	65%	62%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/8	2/9	5/17
Converted %	38%	22%	29%
Conceded	4	2	6
Saved	3/4	1/2	4
Saved %	75%	50%	63%
Times Broken	1	1	2

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